Stock price when the opinion was issued
Breakouts are good, and they typically last for a while. Based on the recent quick move, you can expect a pullback.
Looking at the 5-year chart, could meet some resistance at the $95 high of early 2022. But there isn't a big wall. Look back from late 2022 to mid-2024, there was a wall of around $70. One point in history is going to cause some resistance, but it's not as bad as multiple tests that can cause significant resistance.
Scores 6/10 in fundamentals. TD is up 50% this year vs. BNS 22%. BNS also lags over 20 years, with RY and NA being the best performers. She owns Royal instead. BNS is the leading Canadian bank. Maybe BNS will catch up to peers. They continue to have a footprint in Latin America, continue to invest in technology, and their Q2 showed steady loan growth and stable credit quality. Continue to hold if you own.
Highest yield of the Big 6, but more uncertainty surrounding selling down international assets and buying into the US. Didn't like many of the bank earnings last quarter because PCLs were released back into earnings once worst-case tariff scenario didn't come to pass. This was premature and too optimistic. Fears our economy might get worse before it gets better.
If you have it in your portfolio, keep it. But she's holding off on buying right now.
EPS of $1.52 missed estimates of $1.56; revenue of $9.08B was marginally better than estimates. Scotiabank's transition is advancing, driving overall adjusted operating leverage and international segment efficiency improvement, aided by progress toward C$800 million in cost savings this year and primacy expansion. The bank may reach 5-7% 2025 EPS growth. Trade risks still weigh on domestic and Latin America economies, reflected in a higher-performing provisions ratio. Slower activity in domestic banking might extend as clients face uncertainty. Canadian net interest margin eased. Wealth growth is exposed to market volatility, while Capital Market's M&A fees could ease, despite a healthy pipeline. The bank expects 2H impaired provisions at or over 2Q's 57 bps, above prior guidance and expected 2H moderation. Performing reserves in 2Q may help. Scotiabank is set to buy back 20 million shares. All-in, we would be comfortable here. The bank is managing a difficult and uncertain time fairly well so far.
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