
TSE:BEP.UN
BEP.UN reported funds from operations of 51c, growing by 9% from the year prior, but just missing estimates of 52c. Revenue came in at $1.48B, increasing 22.9% year-over-year, but falling just shy of estimates of $1.49B. The company deployed or committed $8.6B of capital ($970 million net to Brookfield Renewable) across multiple investments globally. BEP.UN secured contracts to deliver an incremental 2,700-gigawatt hours per year of generation, of which ~90% of development was with corporate customers. Distribution was unchanged. Not a bad quarter from BEP.UN as FFO and revenue saw decent growth, despite coming up just short of estimates. We like to see the increased demand from corporate customers and think this can be a growth catalyst in the future.
Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free
We are comfortable starting a position now. The stock was initially up big to start May following earnings and the Microsoft partnership. It has since pulled back, but we think there are long-term trends that make renewables attractive, and BEP.UN specifically has a large portfolio of assets to capitalize here. Rates starting to come down will also be key for the stock due to how much debt it has.
Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free
In addition to owning BN, she owns this one directly for exposure to the renewable space. Likes its scale and global presence. In hydro, solar, wind. Did well under Biden, then higher rates hurt, stock's now trying to move up.
True that Trump's not as friendly to renewables. But it's a long-term, secular trend that not's going to stop.
An AI component from the MSFT deal, encouraging. She's owned it for a long time for exposure to the renewable sector, a secular trend. Interest rates have dampened things down, as debt servicing costs increase and cashflow gets discounted at a higher rate. Rates going down would be a tailwind.
Global. Funding for projects comes from the Brookfield group. Active asset recycling -- buy cheap, develop it to maturity, sell it for cash, redeploy that cash. Yield is 5.49%.
BIP is more sensitive to interest rates, and will constrained when rates rose. Also, they pay a dividend which was competing with high rates. As rates decline, this will benefit BIP and encourage more building projects. In contrast, BEP is a tougher go, because the transition to renewables will take longer than many expect. But BEP is best in class and its managers are fantastic. BEP's use of AI (with Microsoft) will benefit the stock, but we're ahead of ourselves.
Likes the Westinghouse acquisition. Its hydro assets are long life with low operating costs. Likes MSFT deal. Tech companies are building data centres, and the #1 thing they need is consistent and stable power. Her bet is not centred on AI, it's focused on data. Population growth plays into need for power as well. Yield is 5.7%.
(Analysts’ price target is $40.54)