Stock price when the opinion was issued
Has been hurt by continued negativity towards renewables, not helped by Trump's election. They continue to sign major supply renewal deals with tech companies. There still needs to be a lot of renewable power to be built, and BEP is one of the best at it. Collect the 6.75% dividend as you wait, and average in.
Total return is positive because of the distribution yield. Rough year for the sector. New US administration doesn't support the sector; removal of tax credits is a headwind. Long-term secular growth theme, with near-term hiccups and volatility. MSFT agreement gives visibility to revenues, other companies want similar agreements.
Need for energy and power continues to increase. About half its assets are hydro, which she likes for long-term growth. Geographic and asset diversification. Huge deal with MSFT, which should increase production by ~33%. Joint venture with CCO to do Westinghouse nuclear servicing, and she's bullish on clean energy. Poised to do well. Yield is 5.77%, and dividends grow 5% a year.
(Analysts’ price target is $39.39)Undervalued. Well run. Diverse assets. Lots of hydro, as well as solar and wind, both in NA and globally. One of the leading players internationally. Huge increase in demand in electricity from data centres and AI; many of the hyperscalers want to use clean energy. Deal with MSFT.
Near-term underperformance and tax-credit concerns from the "big, beautiful bill", but long-term trend toward renewables is intact.
The chart for AQN tells the story for the sector.
Seeing signs of improvement. Both AQN and NPI have moved above 200-day (40-week) moving average, a positive. Especially so because a lot more quant funds are moving $$ in the markets, and one of the triggers they look at is whether or not it's above that technical level. It it's above, they can buy it; if not, either they can't buy it or they short it. Likes the regulated utilities -- FTS, H, EMA, CU, CPX.
If he were less cautious, he'd be more bullish. Not a big fan. More of a value play. Technically, they've been laggards. Better places to put your $$.
He looks for faster-growing, smaller names. He prefers companies that do metering and monitoring of the grid. Even though it's partnering with MSFT, he's found better ways to play the AI theme.