BCE Inc.BCE.TOWATCHMar 17, 2026Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jul 09, 2026. Market Open.
Both are looking for growth down the road and watching expenses. In the immediate future, earnings growth for both looks fairly benign -- below 5% in both cases. Interest rates in Canada could potentially move higher later this year, which doesn't bode well for the high-dividend payers.
Both are below their 200-day MAs. You want to put your $$ where it makes the most sense, and he's not sure telcos are that place right now. He owns no telcos.
Likes its traditional business -- stable, defensive, high barriers to entry. Good job diversifying away from traditional telco business, making deals on data centres (but not taking on technology risk, and valuations are not extreme). With geopolitical conflicts, we want Canadian data stored in Canada.
Safest way, by far, to play AI data centre growth. Expecting $2B in data centre revenue by 2028. Yield is 5.73%.
After the cut, dividend yield is ~5%. That's sustainable. Evolving into an AI data centre infrastructure play, and he likes that it's putting capital to work there. It's a structural theme for many years to come. But core business is under pressure as telcos compete on price and for market share.
If you're here for the dividend, you're safe. If you're here for stock appreciation, you're likely to be disappointed.
BCE is a warning for Telus: cutting the dividend, then the stock struggles. Long term, these wired and wireless network will have value for Canadians. Also, telcos are leveraging their tech footprint in the data centre business, which could become a growth lever. Telcos--which faciliatate social media and communicating--will continue to hold value. He likes BCE at current levels.
Telus is paying out all of its FCF, and maybe then some, in dividends. You have to be OK with that. And who knows whether the new CEO will cut that dividend?
Both have come down a lot. You could make the case to buy these beaten-down companies to get the yield, and that's not a terrible idea. For the very long term, at these valuations, probably not much downside. Question is: How much upside? If inflation does come down and central banks start lowering rates again, companies like these may get a bid.
Prefers, and owns, RCI.B.
In the midst of Canada's technical recession, you have to think about what kind of investor you are. A basket of telcos can be used as a bond proxy, as it'll provide income in your portfolio. Income can then be used to protect you defensively on the downside, or to redeploy into growthier names. It gives your portfolio some ballast.
It's an income story, not a growth story. Doesn't see much problem if you hold it longer term. If Telus cut its dividend, he'd probably buy.
Ask yourself this: If he gave you the same amount of $$ you already have invested, would you buy the stock again? The world has changed. Premium pricing has come to an end. Valuation compression might be over.
Owns it, but it's on a very short leash (ultimately to be recycled into something else). Yield is 5%.
Telcos have been under pressure for quite a while, extremely volatile. She owns none of them. Until she sees a sector turnaround, she's staying clear.
This name is still one of the Big 3. Still using capital to push into the US via Ziply. Good move to sell sports stake to Rogers. Rebuilding balance sheet, pivoting to fibre as the growth story. Turnaround still has some work to do, but it's taking the right steps.
His firm really doesn't buy turnaround situations. He wants things that are good and getting better, with positive catalysts and technically sound. As the stock comes off the bottom, you have all these people just itching to sell and get their money back.
Won't be a market leader anytime soon. Better places for your $$. If you can take a tax loss, he'd step aside.
The Saskatchewan data centre is positive news, but represents short-term pain for long-term gain. The deal reduces BCE's free cash flow this year from $3.5B to $2.3B, with $1.7B allocated to the project. For investors worried about capital expenditures, this may be troubling. However, it's likely the right long-term strategic move to generate higher-growth diversified revenue. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free
It's likely seen its low last year. Not sure about their US investment, and faces competition in Canada. Just announced a data centre builld in Saskatchewan, which will increase capex short term, but beneficial long term. A good move. She hasn't returned to the stock yet, but is watching how the data centre plays out.