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TSE:ATRL
He is staying away from this for the time being. Has become a little more interesting because of the recent contract in Colombia. Expect that the performance from here would depend more on how investors feel about future potential scandals and to what extent they perceive the balance sheet to be cleaned up.
(3 Top Picks have a theme of needing some shareholder activism because there is so much value in some of the stocks they are going to be recognized and will be forced into some changes.) This one already has an activist and he thinks it is now time. Had a horrific quarter but that was just its engineering business. No one is paying attention to its beautiful infrastructure and concession assets. They became even more important after its quarter because of good growth from Highway 407 and Alta Link and they own some other assets as well. This could be spun off. Dividend yield of 2.27%.
He continues to believe that any time you see something in the paper about the company’s issues with bribery, etc., it is really hashing old stuff. Company has new management and has addressed those issues. Looking forward, this is a great worldwide engineering company that continues to get major contracts.
He doesn’t understand why the stock is not lower and why people are willing to pay such a high multiple on a company that is not very clear where you stand on any of the issues. A lot of the businesses they did was very unclear as to what the margin was. It is clear that they bribed people to get the business. He wouldn’t own it.
Performance of the company on an operating basis over the last few quarters. They've been good at keeping their back logs at very high levels. But it may be that we are seeing those back logs are due to underbidding too aggressively, and the low margins we are seeing on these back logs may be the results of this. (He's speculating) He would have liked to have seen better operating performance.
In the thick of it right now. Pops every time they divest of something. Their earnings stream is somewhat suspect. Declining backlog and it is suspect. Reputational risk – there could be more skeletons. They are going to need cash to fund a lot of the projects they are bidding on.