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TSE:ATRL
(A Top Pick Nov 3/14. Down 9.3%.) This is not the same company that it has been penalized for in the past. Has new management and is very unlikely to do what it did in the past. There are still lots of headline risks based on things coming up from the past. With infrastructure becoming a major platform for the new government, they are and will continue to be one of the major beneficiaries.
He feels that the 1st thing that is going to win with this new Liberal government is infrastructure spending, and he thought of this company along with Stantec (STN-T), Aecon (ARE-T) and a couple of other engineering companies. All the stocks he looked at had fair setbacks and are starting to reverse on the upside. Of the 3 of these companies, this one offers up about a 20% upside, the least of the 3 with Aecon being the greatest and Stantec in the middle.
Not sure of the seasonality on this, but technicals are starting to show some signs of bottoming. It is probably trading very close to its 20 day moving average. Strength, relative to the market, it is slightly positive. Indicators are starting to look okay, but they are mixed. Wait until you have more confirmation from the technical indicators.
Have been trying to reinvent itself and stabilize after the scandals that it underwent with briberies in foreign countries. New management has largely addressed a lot of those problems. They are looking to sell some assets, including highway #407. He doesn’t know if all of the issues have been settled yet. Valuations look a little lofty.
The company has the work, but they just can't make money doing the work. Don't think they are out of the woods with their legal problems. Could be subject to national and international sanctions going forward. They have changed their management and are trying to stay out of dirty business. However, they are still not able to show they can make a lot of money on their ongoing work.
(Top Pick Jan 21/15, Up 0.76%) It has been flat for the year so he is positive now. Has an asset value in the $50s. The 407 is doing fantastic. Everything else is at a discount. It is mostly international in exposure so he likes it. They have their head around regulatory problems. Settlement could come any time.