Allergan PLC.AGNTOP PICKAug 17, 2016Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of May 08, 2020. Market Open.
(A Top Pick September 14/17- Down 22%.) This was a high-risk position. They sold a drug to a native band and then they leased the rights back to circumvent potential generic competition. Something cheeky and probably that is why the stock sold off. Their strength is still in Botox and aesthetics. He doesn’t see that changing or being threat. He still likes it. Management is under the gun.
Their number 1 product is Botox and their number 2 product is eye drops, and there is some competition coming from generics for their eyedrops drug. Thinks that is what has been hurting the stock recently. When the technicals are working against you where a stock has fallen below the 200-day moving average, and the price is below both the 50 day and 100 day, technically you want to step away.
This has things like Botox, etc., but also have some things on the pharmaceutical side. He felt that they had a great quarter. Made 10 acquisitions in the past year with the proceeds of the generics they sold to Teva. Trading around 13X forward earnings, so not terribly expensive. He likes this one.
(A Top Pick Aug 17/16. Down 13.44%.) A terrific company, and shows up as the highest quality company in its group. Unfortunately, they got painted by the specialty pharmaceutical brush. It is getting a bit of a reprieve right now. He still likes this. It has one of the best growth profiles of any of the specialty pharmaceutical companies. The majority of its businesses are not subject to the same type of price controls that could come under government scrutiny.
He sees this going into the mid $300 within 12-15 months. They are going to do some deals and they have a fantastic CEO. You don’t know where it is going to be until they do a deal and the earnings accrete. You can be very surprised how fast earnings can accrete when the right deals are done.