Michael Simpson, CFA Allergan PLC. AGN-N PAST TOP PICK Jan 17, 2019

They are known for Botox. Aesthetics is a big part of their business as well as a great urology business and Gastro Intestinal business. They sold their urology business and reinvested their cash into R&D. It is very inexpensive. (Analysts’ target: $271.50).

We are in a structural bull market for equities. We are skating through the two toughest months of the year without much volatility. Don’t buy a company that has been put into the penalty box. Stocks that have broken down have an army of people who just want to get their money back.

(Market Call Minute.) A broken stock and he would Sell it and move on.

Their number 1 product is Botox and their number 2 product is eye drops, and there is some competition coming from generics for their eyedrops drug. Thinks that is what has been hurting the stock recently. When the technicals are working against you where a stock has fallen below the 200-day moving average, and the price is below both the 50 day and 100 day, technically you want to step away.

They are the maker of Botox. They have a drug for dry eye syndrome that will come off patent but his analysis of the case for losing all revenue from the drug has them still doing well. They have a good drug pipeline. (Analysts’ target: $225.00).

Form a valuation standpoint, trading at 10 times forward earnings with high single digit growth rate. But the stock keeps falling down. He would be very careful with this. Could be a value trap.

(A Top Pick September 14/17- Down 22%.) This was a high-risk position. They sold a drug to a native band and then they leased the rights back to circumvent potential generic competition. Something cheeky and probably that is why the stock sold off. Their strength is still in Botox and aesthetics. He doesn’t see that changing or being threat. He still likes it. Management is under the gun.