Opinions Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA
Aurora CannabisACB.TODON'T BUYNov 27, 2017
Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTAUnknown
$8.25
Stock price when the opinion was issued
$4.70
As of Jun 05, 2026. Market Open.
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BUY
They each have their own strengths. He would pick Canopy (WEED-T) because they are the 800 lb gorilla. Aurora has lots of news about balance sheet challenges but they have low costs that he thinks will still come down further.
DON'T BUY
He feels all cannabis stocks are gambling stocks. A maturing debenture is expected to keep downward pressure on the share price. There is no assurance that any existing company will be a survivor -- it is simply too early. No one is making money in this space. Without being able to predict revenues and expenses, it is too risky. He would stay away from these.
DON'T BUY
They're reporting soon. There's a lot of oversupply in the sector; the black market sells cheaper weed and legal distribution is tight. This industry is still evolving. There was a lot of froth before in this space. Also, the laws keep changing. Weed companies aren't making money. She's sitting on the sidelines.
DON'T BUY
Cannabis? He is fortunate that they have not participated in the cannabis space over the past year. It is just too difficult to determine who will be the winners in this space just yet. A lot of companies will short on cash. ACB has a $200 million debenture coming due in March 2020, which will have to be refinanced as the strike price is well above current prices. Stay away from ACB. He would not buy anything in the space.
Don LatoNo
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COMMENT
Short this to $1? $4.50 is its book value and technical support. Has a strong balance sheet, but it has no earnings or fair market value. We're at the stage in cannabis where these stocks have to prove they can survive as a business. Don't short this anymore. The price is so low it's starting to look attractive.
DON'T BUY
His weed exposure is through Constellation Brands which owns Canopy--this is less risky than owning cannabis stocks. The valuation on the entire sector rose way too high in 2017-8. Now, the industry is feeling growing pains, with unexpected surprises in working with governments. Generally sin stocks do well long term, but the next year or two will be challenging.
Jamie Murray No
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He does not know the company. The company is in play. Cannabis will be maybe 1% of the world when the industry matures. It is speculative right now. The competition from the illegal market is going to be high and will suppress price. The upside is limited in terms of industry demand. If you are going to play it, play the whole group (HMMJ-T).