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Air CanadaAC.TOCOMMENTNov 08, 2017Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 16, 2026. Market Open.
Travel stocks and airlines are very economically sensitive. Oil prices are spiking but Air Canada is better positioned due to Canada's energy supply. He likes it because it is building out a very strong global network with very unique routes that other carriers don't have. Trades at a discount to its US counterparts so there is lots of upside if the economy allows it. The next catalyst is bringing in a great CEO. Has a strong bench with a management team that has been there for a long time. Navigating the 2030's and beyond is the next big question for Air Canada.
Its planes are fuller now and the balance sheet much better. The stock price had started to improve but war and higher oil prices are bringing the price back down. There is still upside since it is trading at a discount to its historical valuation and to its US counterparts. He feels a fairer price would be $25.
Airline stocks have been hit by energy prices as well as tariff effects. Definitely on her watchlist. Progress operationally since pandemic, execution has improved. Balance sheet healthier. Demand remains solid, especially internationally.
Cautious on capacity growth. Cyclical industry. Near-term costs moving higher. She's watching demand trends and price discipline.
#1 would probably be Telus. BCE is also in there. Names like AC, MFI, PRL, GSY, WFG, and TFII. All of these stocks are cheaper than they ought to be. All things being equal, those names should be higher in January than they are now.
He got rid of it due to the choppy chart. Airlines are labour-intensive, subject to strikes, have high fuel costs, sensitive to the economy.
Chart's showing it's neither here nor there. If it broke a bit below where it is now, as part of a longer-term downtrend, could easily see $10 range and you'd be best to sell and redeploy $$ elsewhere. Reasonable dividend.
He does not really take an interest in airlines. There may be an opportunity now for Air Canada with all the rhetoric around the strike. It's been around for some time. Settlement should not be a huge number for cost increases. It is looking to expand internationally. You could buy when the strike is settled and the price starts to rise.
Just reported earnings, which is what started the decline in the stock price, although thinks it had more to do with sentiment and what happened with the actual numbers. He is watching earnings numbers and trends and what happens with them. They basically met their numbers, but after the company reported, the consensus and expectations were so high they ended up disappointing. As the numbers keep getting revised up, expectations get higher and higher. Eventually they hit the numbers, but can't make everyone happy, so the stock price started to sell off. He sold his holdings just before the numbers came out, because it started to break down technically. It probably goes through a period of sideways before the next leg higher, providing earnings are higher.