Apple IncAAPLBUY ON WEAKNESSJun 27, 2025Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Oct 02, 2026. Market Open.
Still has a bit of a valuation issue, north of 30x PE. They've delivered, and will continue to do so. Its OS dominates the world at 70% of mobile devices, which will continue to generate growth. Doesn't know what'll happen to iPhone sales in China.
Other areas in tech are looking much, much cheaper. AAPL's getting a premium valuation, which it'll have to continue to earn. Not enough there to make it to the top of his list right now.
Her team is less positive on consumer spending, so they're not in this name. Key for long-term success will be how they embed AI into the iPhone. Not an impressive job thus far. Management changes could result in better innovation on AI -- has potential, but needs to show it.
For her, it's less about the foldable phone and more about a unique AI platform.
Some predict weakness in Apple's new iPhone sales because Apple raised the price of the phone in line with the rising cost of memory. Demand will depend on the telcos--will they continue to subsidize the growth in iPhones? It could be a challenge for the telcos. Next week, Apple has to show very good progress with Siri to have a successful phone launch. If not....
Sat out the capex buildout, relying on owning the end consumer. Time will tell if this was the right strategy. Massive service industry, with margins above 75%. The default stalwart when investors get worried about AI capex debt. Really good brand and margins, best share buyback program ever. Market's still trying to figure out where it fits in the AI ecosystem.
Since March, he's bought this 6 times and it kept moving higher. It's up 26% since the June 25 low of $273. It is losing near-term momentum, for sure, and is vulnerable to a deeper decline. When it does, the stock will pause, and he will continue to buy more, because this is the Mag 7 stock that will stand above the others.
Is -6% the past year and -19.7% this year, and has been trading sideways as the rest of tech has been roaring. The company last gave tepid guidance because of Trump (25% tariff on iPhones), and gave an adverse ruling against their app stores. The stock is out of favour, uncertain, but he will hold on. Past downturns have turned out to be buy opportunities. Trades at 28x PE, down from 35.5% at its peak last July. Their recurring service revenue now amounts to 25% of overall, and growing faster than all other businesses. AAPL has bottomed several times in recent years, bottoming at 25x PE, the last time in early April after tariffs, then quickly recovered. During the 2022 bear market, the PE plunged to 20x PE, then rebounded strongly. Since it bottomed at the start of 2023, shares rallied 93% of the time in the next 3 years. Meanwhile, the earnings growth is 14% projected this year, while the S&P is projected at only 9.4%. So, Apple deserves a premium, now trading at 28x PE vs. the S&P's 23x. Apple PEG ratio is under 2 while the S&P is 2.5, so if Apple had that PEG ratio, AAPL should sell at 35x PE and $250. Therefore, buy Apple at $180, too cheap to ignore, or 25x PE, but if it shares off the negativity, this should trade at 35x PE.