Today, Danesh Rohinton commented about whether TDG-N, V-N, LVMUY-OTC, SLF-T, MFC-T, FFH-T, EL-N, RCI.B-T, QBR.B-T, T-T, BCE-T, FISV-Q, UBS-N, MG-T, RY-T, MSFT-Q, TRYG-CPH, MA-N, LIN-N, BABA-N, WELL-T, NVDA-Q, REI.UN-T, LEN-N, ENB-T, NVO-N, AMZN-Q, SHOP-T, CCO-T are stocks to buy or sell.
The secret with banks (and especially RY) is to buy at 9-10x earnings, assuming there isn't a systemic crisis or looming credit cycle. But at 13-15x, banks start being viewed as more than banks, and that's a great time to sell to someone who has a dream that you shouldn't be dreaming.
Pretty positive on sale of the sports assets, as the real value came from de-leveraging. Payout ratio is a little more bearable today, though still stretched. He'd buy today, but remember that these are tough businesses over the medium- to long-term. Doesn't mean you have a long-term, high-revenue-growth business.
Telcos have lagged other yield sectors, and this creates an opportunity. He's buying all the telcos. This is his #2 choice in the space. Cashflow is stable, but not growing at a very high rate, and the dividend must take this into account. If your payout ratio is already on the high end, and you're raising the dividend every time, you're actually borrowing debt to pay the dividend. He likes companies that are on the right side of the payout ratio, and BCE is moving in the right dircetion.
He'd buy today, but remember that these are tough businesses over the medium- to long-term. Doesn't mean you have a long-term, high-revenue-growth business.
Telcos have lagged other yield sectors, and this creates an opportunity. He's buying all the telcos. This is his #1 choice in the space. Well managed, reasonable payout ratio. And that's why it's at the top, with a higher valuation.
He'd buy today, but remember that these are tough businesses over the medium- to long-term. Doesn't mean you have a long-term, high-revenue-growth business.
Telcos have lagged other yield sectors, and this creates an opportunity. He's buying all the telcos. This is his #4 choice in the space, as it has long-term issues in network buildout.
He'd buy today, but remember that these are tough businesses over the medium- to long-term. Doesn't mean you have a long-term, high-revenue-growth business.
Telcos have lagged other yield sectors, and this creates an opportunity. He's buying all the telcos. This is his #3 choice in the space. Fell down his list because it bought the sports assets from BCE, and he wants cashflow from our telcos, not trophy assets.
One of the biggest risks for telcos as a whole is that leverage for the Canadian ones tends to be on the higher end. Still, debt is in context of a stable structure, respectable margins, and debt servicing that's higher but not stretched.
Leverage profile, combined with any change in the competitive dynamic, creates a spiral situation. It's getting better and a problem for tomorrow, but it is a problem.
He'd own it for the next couple of months, but questions the next couple of years. Clinique is strong, but has lost some of its brand "heat". Weaker topline. Revenue coming down at the same time as costs are inflating. Tactically bullish if you believe the spurt in China is real, but tends to get more competitive over the long term, and that will come home to roost for EL over a 5-year horizon.
See his Top Picks for a more durable idea.
(Note the short timeframe.) MA and Visa make up the best unregulated duopoly in the world. MA has less debit exposure, which is where Visa got dinged. Still a reasonable valuation.