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Microsoft (MSFT-Q)
1136 watching
NASDAQ:MSFT
248.16
0.16
(0.06%) 1d
Financials
Technical Analysis
Buy, Sell or Hold?
Jan 27, 2023, 9:00 pm
0
HOLD
Trimmed his position earlier this month because the CEO warned of sales weakness. They just reported: EPS beat and adjusted operating income also beat. Did excellent expense controls. Cloud computing also beat. Shares initially jumped but plunged after the CEO's conference call when he delivered weak guidance: revenue to shrink in cloud (4-5%) and personal computing (Office software). MSFT just bought an AI business. But usage of Windows remains big (time users spend on PCs), underlying usage remains strong. Xbox services revenues were down, but the number of users hit a record. Today, they bounced off today's lows and mostly recovered--that's encouraging. The lesson: don't jump the gun and sell. MSFT's long-term prospects remain strong, though he isn't rushing to buy more.
computer software / processing
$240.610
Owned
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 18/22, Down 21%) Held up well most of last year, then caved. Higher interest rates headwind to valuation. Subscription model. LinkedIn has worked out well. Cloud business growing. Operating margin over 40%, very strong balance sheet. Could still grow earnings, though more slowly, despite recession. Core holding.
computer software / processing
HOLD
All tech has sold off. Success often overshoots and shares are returning to a fundamental level. The business remains solid and their cloud business is still growing. Will more companies enter the cloud business and will an economic slowdown effect business. The dividend is safe. If Q2 and Q3 are weak, definitely look at this. He isn't adding shares now.
computer software / processing
WAIT
CDR option to hedge currency risk? Basing around $220, now up to $239, a bit of a rally. Generally, he's pretty underweight tech. Doing great things with subscription model, cloud business. Problem is it's not cheap, 8x price to sales, wouldn't add now. Likes it long term. CDR is a hedge against the currency. More importantly, you get estate planning benefits for wealthier investors by avoiding potential US estate issues down the road. CDRs are considered Canadian content, as they're issued by Canadian banks.
computer software / processing
TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly We reiterate MSFT as a TOP PICK. The iconic software and cloud service provider is trading under 25x earnings compared the five year average of 35x - making this a good valuation to enter at. Recently reported earnings support a healthy 42% ROE. While other companies are raising debt, this company is paying down debt, buying back shares and growing cash reserves. Its 365 service will be offering a low cost $1.99 per month service offering that should help subscriptions, much like NFLX did. Its dividend is backed by a payout ratio under 30% and has been growing for 19 consecutive years. We continue to recommend placing a a stop-loss at $215, looking to achieve $293 -- upside potential over 21% Yield 1.15% (Analysts’ price target is $293.28)
computer software / processing
HOLD
Great company, but worried enterprise software sales are slowing.
Growth in cloud computing business slowing.
Unsure on the short term performance of stock.
Long term, confident stock will perform.
computer software / processing
BUY
The worst stock today because of a downgrade from buy to neutral due to slowing Azure growth If you have a strong conviction in this name, then he feels better that we're lowering expectations for the stock and its cloud business (MSFT's most important segment). This is good. Still likes MSFT--it's the most diversified megatech stock and the best in this space.
computer software / processing
WEAK BUY
She owns it, but is underweight. Its forward 22x PE is higher than peers, like Meta. Inevitably, this will give up more PE, but will settle down. Great company, great balance sheet.
computer software / processing
DON'T BUY
Not cheap at 24x PE, but the company is entering a mature phase. In 10 years, we will look at high-growth megatechs as industrials or utilities. Given this maturity, we need to re-rate this group.
computer software / processing
HOLD
The worst stock today because of a downgrade from buy to neutral due to slowing Azure growth He's owns only a little of it. Megatech will enjoy some good days this year, but tech will not be a theme. MSFT will do fine overall. But it's pricey at 24x.
computer software / processing
BUY
For a long, he felt this was expensive. Now trades at 20x 2024. A premier franchise and hasn't been washed out like other big tech names. MSFT has performed well in a tough market. MSFT is a good long-term wealth builder. This is solid, despite a rough macro picture.
computer software / processing
COMMENT
At what price to overweight? $210 was the time. Still has a good long runway from here. His second-largest holding at 8.2%, so he might need to trim. Poster child of diversification in the tech arena. Very well run. Try to pick it up anywhere south of $220. (Analysts’ price target is $306.50)
computer software / processing
TOP PICK
World's largest software company, second largest company in the world. 3 segments: personal computing, business productivity, intelligent cloud. Scale advantage, defensive growth. Great exposure to long-term, secular infotech growth themes, notably digital transformation, business intelligence, and analytics collaboration. 70% of revenue is recurring, and investors like that. Great entry point. Yield is 1.09%. (Analysts’ price target is $296.10)
computer software / processing
BUY
Loves it. Brilliant to put themselves in the centre of small- and mid-sized businesses almost everywhere in the world. Not going away. That's why he sees it more as a utility. Surprised by the selloff, great entry point. Dividend will rise.
computer software / processing
BUY on WEAKNESS
One of his top 10 holdings. Very well positioned. Below $220 is a screaming buy, wouldn't hurt to put the pin in around $220-230. Will see increased volatility around the potential Fed pivot. (Analysts’ price target is $298.00)
computer software / processing
Microsoft(MSFT-Q) Rating
Ranking : 5 out of 5
Bullish - Buy Signals / Votes : 45
Neutral - Hold Signals / Votes : 10
Bearish - Sell Signals / Votes : 6
Total Signals / Votes : 61
Microsoft(MSFT-Q) Frequently Asked Questions
What is Microsoft stock symbol?
Microsoft is a American stock, trading under the symbol MSFT-Q on the NASDAQ (MSFT). It is usually referred to as NASDAQ:MSFT or MSFT-Q
Is Microsoft a buy or a sell?
In the last year, 61 stock analysts published opinions about MSFT-Q. 45 analysts recommended to BUY the stock. 6 analysts recommended to SELL the stock. The latest stock analyst recommendation is . Read the latest stock experts' ratings for Microsoft.
Is Microsoft a good investment or a top pick?
Microsoft was recommended as a Top Pick by on . Read the latest stock experts ratings for Microsoft.
Why is Microsoft stock dropping?
Earnings reports or recent company news can cause the stock price to drop. Read stock experts’ recommendations for help on deciding if you should buy, sell or hold the stock.
Is Microsoft worth watching?
61 stock analysts on Stockchase covered Microsoft In the last year. It is a trending stock that is worth watching.
What is Microsoft stock price?
On 2023-01-27, Microsoft (MSFT-Q) stock closed at a price of $248.16.
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