Microsoft Corp (MSFT-Q)

A month ago, he reduced his tech holdings a lot. Thirst for AI continues pretty strong. Economic environment would have to be pretty tough for this name to go down too much more, but that could happen.

Both names are great. MSFT is a bit more expensive. META can suffer more on advertising if we go into a tougher economic environment. If you're confident that Trump wants to win the midterms and wants to be popular, and that we're going to avoid the worst-case outcome, you can buy both at these levels. Between the two, META gets the nod.

They report Wednesday. They've disappointed 3 straight quarters, with soft outlooks after delivering solid results. Co-Pilot needs to gain serious traction while data centre spending stays strong, but not too strong, and hopes that Azure resumes acceleration. If it misses once more, this will be punished.

Fundamental resilience is near the top of the Mag 7 pack. Sticky, mission-critical services. Fell on generalized market weakness. Continues to grow at compelling mid-high teens pace. Flexing pricing power with subscription renewals. Cloud business still growing, but at a decelerated pace. Own for the long haul.

Has a durable business with Office software essential in the workplace. Their large cloud business adds to overall growth. Is -24% from highs, the best among the Mag 7 during this tariff war. However, its CoPilot isn't successful and they are breaking up with Open AI. At 27x PE, you can buy some shares now.

Shares are back to July 2024. Will this be closer to $300 or $500? The easy answer is $500. $300 would mean a lot of fundamental concerns on the macro side of the market. Look for guidance ahead. Are they still on schedule to spend $13 billion this year? And what will they get in return for that? Their last Q4 revealed that their AI business surprisingly surpassed their revenue run rate of $13 billion, which was a lot sooner. Companies like this are spending alot, but they are making money back in AI.

Its AI platform isn't that impressive, and MSFT has missed estimates 3 times now. It will stay a dog if it misses again.

People are taking profits in the Mag 7. Still a top pick. AI-cloud dominance and smart investments are driving their growth. Financial strength keeps them steady in uncertain markets. Her price target is $480, another 25% upside. You could add to your position now.

MSFT is phasing out Windows 10 and pushing the 11 upgrade.

Priced well now. They will and are participate in AI. A great operator.

You're buying this at a lower multiple as recently as January. If you think earnings will hold up as well as AI and data centre spending, this makes sense.

They have lots of cash and downside protection; their office products are monopolistic. Also, growth comes from gen AI and the cloud. Is a defensive play. Yes, they had a period of dead money, but the price is now attractive.

One of the Magnificent 3 he owns out of the Mag 7. Likes the secular opportunity in cloud computing via Azure, plus entrenched dominance in business and household applications. Stalwart grower, undemanding valuation.

He's selling a March covered call, $420 strike, and expiring March 21.