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A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert (A Commentary)

COMMENT
For small cap golds, he recommends holding a basket of them, which is what he does in his fund. They are all risky.
COMMENT
Golds: - Had a severe pull back this year and a little one recently. Not a bad entry point.
DON'T BUY
Gold: - He deals in gold bullion and just recently sold his holdings. He is bearish on gold. The chart shows a peak around $750 and then there’s a series of zigzags which don’t look encouraging. Does own some gold stocks.
COMMENT
Gold: - Gold price will move up because the US$ is going to go down. If correct, the most leverage will come from US gold deposits.
COMMENT
Uranium: - Investment funds bought up uranium in the spot market and the influx of the money significantly distorted uranium prices. He sold most of his uranium stocks. Cigar Lake mine represented 11%-12% of worldwide demand and the flood represented a major problem for the uranium industry. Outlook for the price of uranium is very positive now.
COMMENT
Management: - Looks on his portfolio as a portfolio of management teams, not stocks. Management is the single most important aspect when buying small, illiquid and highly volatile stocks. 3 things are needed, 1) Integrity. They have to manage in the best interest of shareholders, not management 2) Technically competent 3) Financially competent.
COMMENT
Uranium commodity will remain very strong. The supply/demand is very much favouring the commodity. Not a lot of capacity coming on for the next 3 years.
COMMENT
Over the past 3 years, in the 1st quarter, there has been a 10%-20% decline in REITs, so expects volatility in early 2007, so be cautious
PAST TOP PICK
(Government of Canada- 10-year Bond was a Top Pick Sept 27/06. Up.) Yield price has dropped, so the bond price has gone up. Would still Buy. For the gamier players, even 20-year bonds.
WAIT
Income Trusts: - Possible there could be more weakness because of 1) funds that have redemption dates mid-December and 2) tax loss selling. Could create some good opportunities. Have to be selective.
DON'T BUY
Financials: - Doesn’t trade Canada a lot, but from what he sees they have run up quite strongly. In the short term, they seem to be overvalued.
COMMENT
Gold: - Likes gold on a long-term basis. On a short-term basis, it’s had a nice run from $575 to $650.
BUY
Banks: - They are all Buys. Cheaper than the TSX on a price/earnings basis based on 07 earnings. Yields are all well above the TSX yields. First-class, long-term holdings.
TOP PICK
Ace convertible debentures, 4.25%, due June 1 2035. The parent company for Air Canada, Aeroplan, Jazz. If you take out the public pieces, you essentially get Air Canada for free.
COMMENT
US $: - Terminally ill dollar will propel gold to a new high in 2007. The average party has too much debt. Real estate market has now completely died. Expecting to be in a pretty sharp recession in 2007. Forecasting gold at $875 next year.
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