A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert (A Commentary)

COMMENT
Gold - October is typically a weak month for gold, but not sure it will be this time. $800 is an easy objective in the next 3 to 6 months. He couldn't rule out $1000.
DON'T BUY
Banks - Have been subject to some top forming and some problem areas. Had a strong up leg and then went into a head and shoulders formation and the prices have fallen below the moving averages. This will indicate some problems ahead.
COMMENT
Gold - In a major uptrend, but gold stocks are going to take a pause, with one exception. (See his Top Picks.) They may have to do some meandering around their current trading ranges. In the long term, he believes gold is heading towards $1000.
COMMENT
Liquid Natural Gas (LNG) - Potential of LNG coming into the US has been the prime culprit in putting down Canadian gas prices. Currently there is between 6 and 7 BCF LNG conversion capacity. With plants being built/expanded, there is room for a total of about 12 or 13 BCF a day of capacity in 08. When normal winters come back in Europe, their gas prices will go up and LNG will be shipped into those areas.
COMMENT
REITs could be attractive. Looking out 4, 5 years, inflation could be a factor. They pay a very low tax rate. He doesn't own any but is looking at Calloway (CWT.UN-T), H&R (HR.UN-T), Primaris (PMZ.UN-T) and RioCan (REI.UN-T).
COMMENT
Canadian Banks - Have been lagging year to date and yet are still very good long-term places to be. Looks like rates are not going up anytime soon, which helps. They'll probably end up doing low double-digit again like they always do.
HOLD
Japanese iShare- doesn’t invest internationally. Complicated cross rate Japanese-American-Canadian. (Feeling) very positive in Japan. They should aggressively hike interest rates, providing them huge growth. Very bullish on Japan.
BUY
Biggest producer of LCD panels. Low cost producer. On high end. Better than average margins. Like it, cheap enough to buy.
PAST TOP PICK
Sumitomo Trust and Banking (A top pick Sept 29/06. Down 31%) Good opportunity
TOP PICK
Esprit - Clothing, based in Hong Kong. Market cap could double in next 3 years. Very profitable company, generate tremendous cash flow. Grown dividend by 50% in last 5 years.
TOP PICK
Esprit - Clothing, based in Hong Kong. Market cap could double in next 3 years. Very profitable company, generate tremendous cash flow. Grown dividend by 50% in last 5 years.
COMMENT
Canadian t-bills, the risk free asset. Very safe and guaranteed by Canadian government. Currently at a peak.
TOP PICK
Gov’t Canada Bond. 5.75% (Matures June 1st 2033) Considering interest rates you can expect 8-11% total return.
TOP PICK
Prov. Ontario Bond. 4.95% (Matures Nov 28th, 2016) A U.S pay. The spread on bond has widened. Can get 16-18% return.
COMMENT
RRV’s. Real return inflation protected bonds. Safe against increasing inflation.
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