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A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert (A Commentary)

COMMENT
Gold : - Overall gold remains strong. Best way to track is to watch the physical market that trades overseas overnight and if the premium to physical bullion goes to a premium or discount. A discount means a lot of physical bullion is being sold. Market is climbing a wall of worry, which is what you want to see. Looking for $735 this summer.
COMMENT
Base Metals: - Current market conditions will soften economies globally. Base metals are very sensitive to the economies. The only base metal he likes, outside of uranium, is cobalt.
TOP PICK
Top picks (DD-N) and (DE-N) are based on 2 major emerging trends. 1) Increasing wealth in the Far East will see a switch in dietary habits from rice to protein. Demand for soybeans will grow like crazy. 2) Growth of ethanol demand will require a major investment by farmers in new equipment.
TOP PICK
Ibiden - A ceramic packaging company. A really exciting part of their business is the diesel particulate filter business. (Ed. - Could not find it listed on exchanges.)
COMMENT
Gold: - Feels there will be a lot more international buying in the next while and gold will exceed $700 this year and $1000 in the next few years.
COMMENT
Gold: - With my name costs going up, Gold stocks have generally lagged the commodity. For new money, he would prefer the ETF’s (GLD-N) instead of gold mines.
COMMENT
Natural Gas: - Heading into the shoulder season, where there is weakness going from winter to spring. Depending on how hot a summer we have and what we end up with in storage, he could see gas prices at $8.00 and could go higher next winter as it gets cold again.
COMMENT
Gold – Overshot in the spring of last year when it went up to $700. That was full of buy a correction, but since then it is very much in a horizontal trading range, which is a good thing to have. It is about ready to start moving again and there is a good chance it will go back to $700 and maybe even higher.
COMMENT
Financial Services - Environment for banks right now is one of the most stable you can find. Not a lot of pressure for rates or from credit conditions. Doesn't see a big correction coming for financials. Expecting high single-digit plus good dividend yield.
TOP PICK
First Capital Realty five-year 5.08% bonds. This is a call on the REIT bond market. There is still some value on a very tight credit spread market.
TOP PICK
30-year government of Canada bond. Over the long term, there is a sustainable rate. Real rates are going to be low and inflation will be nonexistent.
COMMENT
Interest rates: - Going to go a lot higher. Gold has gone higher which means the paper you are carrying around in your pocket is not worth as much as it was 2 or 3 years ago. How do you get back so that money is worth more than “ stuff”? Rates have to be hiked to such a point that it gets more value.
COMMENT
Silver - The chart shows a semi triangle. If it breaks out through the mid-$14’s it's a pretty strong sign. It has beautiful support. Watch for the breakout and then buy yourself a silver stock. If silver breaks out, gold will follow.
COMMENT
Uranium _- It has been on a tear and looks like it wants to go further. Would be inclined to go with Uranium Participation (U-T), a purer play in uranium. A high-risk play.
DON'T BUY
His pick of government 10-year bonds has not been as good an investment as he had hoped. In the near term, interest rates may be levelling off.
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