Stockchase Opinions

Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA BMO US Dividend ETF ZDY-T COMMENT Mar 19, 2020

At market bottoms you don’t want ETFs with covered calls like ZWH-T because you are giving away some of the upside. You want ZDY-T or the currency hedged version of that. CYH-T is a benchmark for world dividends. It is a Canadian dollar currency hedged ETF. TDIV-Q is a technology dividend play.

$25.500

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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BUY

ZWH-T vs. ZWI-T. ZDY-T is dividend payers, the best US payers. ZWH-T has a covered call. In a downward market he likes the covered call overlay. In a strong market you don’t want it. He prefers ZDY-T right now.

COMMENT

BMO U.S. dividend: make sure there's a quality measure in this ETF. US equities are doing quite well. This is offered in hedged and unhedged. Consider both 50/50 for portfolio diversity. It'll be large-cap names. This is not horrible.

BUY

ZDY-T vs. ZUD-T. They are identical holdings. ZUD-T has a currency hedge. He buys ZDY-T to get exposure to the US dollar as well as US dividends. If he thinks the CAD$ will get stronger, he trades to ZUD-T. You can also get ZDY.U-T to buy it in US$.

BUY
$2,000 for his son to invest in? He'd buy a really simple ETF, the XIU, which is basically buying Canada's 60-largest companies. You're buying Canada, including 30% in energy and metals, which is a risk. Or you could try SPY to cover the U.S. market. You could split these two 50/50.
BUY
A great product that accesses American dividends. It does its job.
DON'T BUY
It is plain vanilla and over weights companies producing dividends. He does not recommend it.
COMMENT

Screens for flat or positive dividend growth, as well as dividend stability. Includes names like Wells Fargo, Abbvie, IBM. About a 34 basis point MER. Tilted to the value side. Not hedged. Pays about a 2.95% yield.

COMMENT

ZDY-T vs. XDU-T. He is indifferent. We will be challenged for the next few years in dividend growth. XDU-T outperformed ZDY-T recently. You get a slightly different mix of companies. You get high dividend payers or quality dividend payers. He would get both, not one or the other.

BUY
ZDY vs. VFV

VFV is about 34% tech and communications, so it's pricey. 25x PE, 4.4x price to book. Yield is 1.6%.

ZDY has better valuations, less exposure to tech and communications of about 20%. 18x PE, 3.3x price to book. Yield is 2.8%. More conservative. Better risk/reward.