Wheaton Precious MetalsWPM.TODON'T BUYApr 15, 2014Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 10, 2026. Market Open.
The best way to think about royalty companies is that if you're bullish on the gold price, then you probably want to own the miners themselves.
Or do you have a long-term view on gold -- you're constructive, but recognize that there are huge cycles along the way? This is where WPM fits into a diversified portfolio. A Buy today, but that's based on positive view of gold in general.
Royalties, not mining. Even if gold prices become more volatile, this name is in a very strong position. Exposure to upside -- but with lower costs, more predictable margins, and less execution risk. Clean balance sheet, strong cashflow, no debt.
Sees ~56% upside, her price target is $257. Yield is 0.65%.
As silver went parabolic in January, he reduced his position. Likely to correct for a while (~2-3 months). Still owns some plus some AEM, but sold everything else in the space. A dividend grower. Safest way to play the sector.
Near term, companies need to do some digesting. Expects another leg higher of a 3-leg, long-term bull market in precious metals.
This pick is for the person who doesn't currently own anything in the space, or who is a more conservative long-term investor. By far the strongest theme in the market. He believes we're the first year into a multi-year bull market in gold, with pullbacks.
In safe jurisdictions, collecting royalty fees. Great dividend growth. About 60% gold, 40% silver. No debt. Yield is 0.82%.
Gold is almost like an insurance policy. Good diversifier. Should be a good, long-term hedge. Deposits have become harder to find.
He prefers the business model of the royalty companies like FNV or WPM. As well, they operate counter-cyclically -- give money when gold prices are low and harvest when prices are high. Always looks expensive, but it's expensive for a reason.
Not a big fan of a lot of the commodity sectors, particularly precious metals. The trend overall for the metals, precious metals in particular, has been pretty lousy since 2011. There is also a really big cycle for the broad commodity index that is due to continue falling for the next little while. Every time the stock gets around $30, get out. Chart shows it has made a couple of higher lows since mid-2013 which could be some encouragement. Doesn’t think there is any near-term trend in the works right now for this or a lot of the gold stocks.