UberUBERHOLDNov 05, 2025Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 04, 2026. Market Open.
It has a great core business. Its rideshare and food didtribution businesses are humming along with growing cash flow. It is getting more sign-ups every year with its Uber1 memberships. Investors have been worried about Waymo and Tesla in the autonomous vehicle space and they do have better quality than Uber. However Uber has been developing partnerships with about a dozen start-up Autonomous Vehicle companies which are super impressive. We should see Uber roll out a lot of these launches over the next 12 months. Buy 53 Hold 7 Sell 1
(Analysts’ price target is $104.70)Challenge will be competition from TSLA and Weymo. Once it reaches saturation, what can it do for its next trick? The law of diminishing returns might catch up with it. With partnerships, it can maintain its hold on pricing power. Fundamentals are good.
His one knock against the company is an ethical one -- wishes it would treat its drivers better. It should follow the model of COST.
They used it for a trade and have moved on. People are worried about impact of autonomous driving -- doesn't think the system will change all that rapidly. Autonomous cars are very expensive. Uber's model is great in that drivers bear the costs.
Reasonable valuation. Management's done a good job. If you're a long-term investor, should be a good player and survive.
Drawdown related to AI pressures on software. Looks relatively compelling, but think twice about what you're trying to get from the stock. A growthy stock, tends to be volatile. Great business, outlook looks fairly reasonable.
Can use AI to leverage benefits of its business.
UBER reported revenue of $13.46 bln vs estimates of $13.27 bln. EBTIDA of $2.25 bln was essentially in-line. Operating profit missed estimates which led to some of the weakness in the shares. Monthly active platform consumers was up 17% and trip growth was up 22%. Starting in Q1 2026, they are going to switch their guidance format from EBITDA to EPS. Overall it looked like a strong quarter but expectations were high and profitability was maybe a little light in the quarter.
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