Stock price when the opinion was issued
We continue to like UBER. It's a large name, with a decent valuation of 22.6X forward earnings, forward growth epectations are decent, and analyst estimates continue to climb higher. We like its operating leverage, and it's now profitable with good free cash flow.
In a hypothetical scenario, where we had a US model portfolio, we could see it being in either the Balanced or Growth model portfolio, with a slight tilt towards the Balanced model portfolio.
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Let it go after Q4 results. Concerned that it was reaching saturation in major urban markets. Talked about aggressively pursuing suburban market share, which is harder to serve and likely not as profitable. Slowing growth YOY. Major question marks about fledgling freight business.
Chart shows fairly clear upward move. True leader in its nascent industry, has quickly become a very big part of our society. Stock's down today on news that LYFT has done a deal with Waymo for autonomous vehicles in Nashville. One-day news is just noise.
See his firm's blog under Insights at goodreid.com.
Outlook is quite sound. Four weeks ago, everyone thought we were in the middle of a recession, which clearly is not the case. Strong growth opportunities into 2025, underpinned by a resilient economy. Good entry point for a company that, generally speaking, has the market to itself.
In some cases, 70x would be seen as too expensive, but it wouldn't detract him from UBER.