John Stephenson
Terasen
TER-T
DON'T BUY
Jun 21, 2005
Outlook is not overly positive. Have an incentive totalling arrangements in contracts which expires Dec this year. They will have to go out to the various shippers and re-contract that capacity and it's unlikely the contractors will extend the arrangements. Hard to see how they are going to grow their revenue base. Embridge (ENB-T) is competition for them.
The three major pipelines are TransCanada (TRP-T), Enbridge (ENB-T) and Terasen (TER-T). TransCanada is sort of dull, but they have come out with reversing of pipeline and getting into Chicago and have a good yield. Enbridge is fully priced. Terasen is opening up the west coast and is the best located in terms of expanding their pipeline. Prefers TransCanada and Terasen.
A utility that has an attractive yield during this low interest rate. On pipeline companies, as regulated carriers, their returns are subject to being cut back by the energy authorities. In the meantime, it's a very good solid company.
Can see a lot of potential for the pipeline business longer term, but not sure what you are paying for that long term growth. Sold his shares at what he thought was expensive at $26, so might be the wrong guy to ask. If you are comfortable with the 24 X forward earnings then hold.
Being bought out by Kinder Morgan (KMI-N) which establishes that oil sands is important. Doesn't see a lot more upside. Not a name that he liked. Fairly valued, so either HOLD or SELL, but don't add to your position.
Merging with Kinder Morgan (KMI-N). It will become a US company and the option of dividend will not give you the tax credit as you would a Canadian dividend. Would tender all his shares at this point if he owned.
Has been taken over by Kinder-Morgan (KMI-N). Pipelines are a safer way to participate in the growth of energy. Looking at Kinder-Morgan as a possible buy.