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NYSE:TEF

Telefonica S.A. (TEF)

4.50
-0.00 (0.00%)
as of Jun 11, 2026, 12:00:00 am Market Open.
14 watching
0
PAST TOP PICK
(Top Pick Mar 24/11, Down 34.07%) A difficult story but maybe you should be buying it here. Only a third of revenue is from Spain. Latin America is growing for them quite rapidly. Management did a good job of cutting cost and growing franchise. They can easily pay their 11% dividend.
WAIT
The big driver for the drop in price is effectively the issues in Spain. High unemployment, very competitive market and Vodafone has been effectively putting the boots to them. Company cut its dividend. Longer term he doesn't think the story is going to end really badly. If Spain can stabilize and growth in Latin America continues you can get some growth. Would wait 12-18 months.
COMMENT
Because of stiff competition with all telecoms in Europe fighting for a smaller piece of the pie, is hurting margins. They're offsetting it somewhat with their Brazilian operations. Recently had a 6% cut in dividends in order to allocate more free cash to debt repayment. Stock yields about 11%-12% right now. He wouldn't have a problem with owning this but it's going to be a sluggish time.
PAST TOP PICK
(Top Pick Apr 5/11, Down 28.09%) Liked it for its dividend and growth in Latin America. But in Spain it really impacted the story. Thinks there is some value right now.
PAST TOP PICK
(Top Pick Mar 24/11, Down 25.77%) Continue to have a very good yield, safe dividend is safe. It has really hurt it that it is a European company. Good growth in Latin and South America. You need Europe to stabilize even more and it will go up.
BUY
Not too keen on it. Anything down that low will go up. Yield is 10% because it is down so much. You don’t want to buy a telco that is paying out all its earnings, which this one is and prefers other telcos in Europe.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 13/11. Down 24.05%.) Still likes. Pays a really good yield. Facing the issues with Europe.
COMMENT
Headquartered in Spain and has 10 European operations along with 175 million subscribers in Latin America. However, in the last couple of years Spain's economy has imploded giving a ton of headline risks for the company. Recently took steps to cut the dividend so the stock has fallen to about $17. If Spain can recover there should be continued growth. There is value, but you might have to wait a little while. Prefers China Mobile (CHL-N).
COMMENT
Recently cut their dividend and there is risk of another cut. Their Latin American operations aren’t growing quickly enough to offset what is going on in Europe.
COMMENT
Has underperformed to the euro. It is a big component of Spain's equity market. Brazil and Latin America is about 40% of their cash flow. Growth in Latin America on the telco side is quite large. Dividend is getting closer to where it is hitting the 80%-90% payout but he thinks it is sustainable. Prices starting to look attractive.
DON'T BUY
If you are looking for a company with better fundamentals in terms of a growing phone market as opposed to one that is already saturated with Telefonica’s hand market in Spain, buying its subsidiary in Brazil makes better sense.
BUY
Possible the 11.25% dividend could be cut but you would still have probably 5%. You have to believe that emerging market exposure is enough to offset downturn in its major markets such as Spain. Latin America looks pretty good. It's at the bottom of its range and you probably won't be hurt too badly.
DON'T BUY
Recently sold his positions. Currently yield of about 13% and feels the market is pricing in a dividend cut. Pretty obvious the company can’t support current dividends. Expects dividend cut of 50% in 2013. Also Brazilian mobile penetration has gone through 100%.
TOP PICK
Largest Spanish telecommunication company but only get a 3rd of their revenue from Spain. One third comes from the rest of Europe and the rest comes from Latin America. Trades at about 9X earnings and about 10% free cash flow yield. The key is Latin America which is their growth area.
BUY
Spanish Telco. Likes that the main revenue growth is out of Latin America. So as EU spins out of control 40% of revenue is Latin America. When you are shorting the EU market, this is one of the largest market cap in the EU. The dividend is safe and there is capacity to grow.
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