Stockchase Opinions

Patricia Perez-Coutts Sociedad Quimica Y Minera SQM-N TOP PICK Sep 19, 2022

It produces lithium which is needed for the growing EV market. Its production is done in an environmentally friendly way and it is one of the lowest cost producers as well as expanding capacity. Has a very large market share. Also has a fertilizer business. Buy 10, Hold 4, Sell 2
$107.030

Stock price when the opinion was issued

chemicals
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TOP PICK
Based in Chile. Largest, lowest cost producer of potassium nitrate, lithium carbonate and iodine. Potassium nitrate is more valuable and stable than potash and very important fertilizing. Lithium carbonate used for powering small electronics and possibly future electric vehicles. Iodine is needed for medical purposes, especially radiation treatment. Possible takeover target.
TOP PICK

Fertilizer company in Chile. He wants this in order to diversify out of the North American economy. Well run company. Has been lagging for quite a while and this is a good entry point. Yield of 0.96%.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Aug 8/14. Down 51.83%.) Phosphates in Chile. He was stopped out early when earnings came out about a year ago.

TOP PICK

He likes all the major lithium players. They grew 181% in the lithium division last quarter. Latin America was beaten up a little bit. It is about energy storage everywhere. There are 6 more giga-factories going up in China right now. (Analysts’ target: $36.00).

BUY

Chemicals are doing well. He owns several chemical stocks, but not SQM. You may buy this for the litihum or fertilizer exposuire. You could step into this, and seasonally now is the time to buy fertilizer. Use the 150-day moving average of $52 as a stop loss. A good company. Pretty liquid.

COMMENT
Lithium stocks rocketed from mid-2020 to late-2021. Stocks have fallen but not lithium itself which tripled in 2021 and added another 130% so far this year, up 800% since end-2020. Lithium stocks are reporting earnings and reflecting that price, so shares are starting to climb. Even if the economy slows down, the demand for lithium batteries will continue to rise. There's no shortage of lithium, but extracting it takes a long time and a lot of capital. SQM is a big Chilean materials company with a lot of lithium exposure. The street is worried about Chile's new socialist president, so SQM lagged its lithium peers last year. SQM shares are catching up this year, up 79% YTD. SQM reported tonight and he hasn't had a chance to examine them.
BUY
Patricia: Fertilizer and lithium out of Chile. Low-cost lithium producer. A winner longer term.
BUY
He hasn't done seasonal analysis on lithium, but it will follow the metals sector and that is now doing well, from January into May. Lithium bounced up in February 2022, but has flatlined since then. Lithium is the key ingredient for car batteries and that is undersupplied. SQM shares have built a base, which is a strong set up for seasonality. Is poised to do well.
BUY

The energy transition from fossil to renewable takes time. That's the reality. There's plenty of lithium in the world, but how quickly can we get it to market? The market was surprised by how quickly brine mining in Chile. Also, people aren't buying EV's as quickly as the market expected. Lithium is close to the bottom, so the risk/reward looks good.