SPDR S&P 500 ETFSPYCOMMENTSep 20, 2016Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 08, 2026. Market Open.
Major concern about this one is that it's really a technology ETF, given that 8 or 9 of the top 10 names are tech names. 40% of the S&P 500 is tech or tech-oriented, and we've never before seen this concentration. That's quite a bit of risk with so much exposure to one sector. Index is not as safe as it was 10 years ago.
Technology in this new world is exciting, but it's not cheap. Though earnings growth is very strong, how far will we let PE's go before we say they're too expensive?
He did a put spread on May 2, the 500-520 end of July put spread. He wasn't concerned about NVDA or tech, but to the market's reaction broadly to Nividia's earnings. Rally broadening in the S&P had not happened. You're limiting your downside with a spread. He bought back the 500 put, which leads him long only the 599 outs.
As a global investor he has been moving away from the US in the last few quarters. The US will be travelling a different monetary passage than other Central Banks. Also, looking at where we were 7 years ago we had a hugely undervalued US$. The US has dramatically outperformed a lot of other stock markets, and during that period it became really expensive. He feels the US is somewhat overvalued relative to other stock markets, which is going to be a headwind. Also, valuations are just not as good as other countries.