SPDR S&P 500 ETFSPYTOP PICKApr 14, 2015Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 08, 2026. Market Open.
Major concern about this one is that it's really a technology ETF, given that 8 or 9 of the top 10 names are tech names. 40% of the S&P 500 is tech or tech-oriented, and we've never before seen this concentration. That's quite a bit of risk with so much exposure to one sector. Index is not as safe as it was 10 years ago.
Technology in this new world is exciting, but it's not cheap. Though earnings growth is very strong, how far will we let PE's go before we say they're too expensive?
He did a put spread on May 2, the 500-520 end of July put spread. He wasn't concerned about NVDA or tech, but to the market's reaction broadly to Nividia's earnings. Rally broadening in the S&P had not happened. You're limiting your downside with a spread. He bought back the 500 put, which leads him long only the 599 outs.
Technicals are positive. The S&P 500 is in an upward trend. Trading above its 20 day moving average. This is the market, so it is doing what the market does. Seasonality continues to be positive until, on average, May 5. There is a danger that the markets could come under pressure some time between May and October of this year. A very short term trade.