Opinions
Javed Mirza
Sun Life Financial Inc
SLF-T
HOLD
Jan 31, 2025
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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Some weakness in recent results. Sometimes when a stock's run up, and results come in lighter than expected, stock sells off on a trade. Fundamentals haven't shifted significantly. Relatively stable earnings, so it's good for income. Asset management divisions can be lumpy with interest rate moves. Reasonable investment for income with some growth.
She owns CB.
Start with valuation -- 10x 2026 for 12% growth. A few bad quarters with a weaker US, which caught market by surprise. Outlook improving. Worst-case on the tariff war (which is not his base case), there will be less $$ floating around to buy insurance products.
Don't buy this name right now. Longer term you're fine. Steady compounder, safe dividend that will grow. Instead, he'd buy MFC on its cheaper valuation (which, for him, makes it safer).
Their last quarter was penalized due to some stop-loss insurance on their books and a small impairment from an investment in Vietnam and softer flows at MSF, their US investment arm. Is now in a range worth buying. This and MFC remain core holdings of his. It yields a safe 4.13%
(Analysts’ price target is $86.45)Now is a good time to take some money off the table. Financials have outperformed the fundamentals in the next few years. Wait for a better entry point, when the market dips as it did in early April, which he expects in the near future. Good company, track record and dividend. No problem with SLF fundamentally.
Insurance is the space to be, but is this the one to buy? Had some challenges with US side, though beat recently and trends are starting to be more encouraging. Really nice dividend. 9.5% growth rate, trading at 10.5x PE for 2026.
If you own it, hold. But for new $$, he'd prefer MFC or POW.
All the insurance names, both in Canada and the US, continue to work. If interest rates do, in fact, go higher, that will only be beneficial for lifecos and other insurers. The chart looks fantastic. Good run, so there is some weakening in the intermediate term.
If a long-term holding, best thing you can do is sit on your hands and do nothing except participate in the DRIP program. Especially if he's right on the broader call of rates being 8-10% in the secular bear market of 2030-40, should be a big tailwind for insurers.