Stock price when the opinion was issued
Have assembled some good assets. The concern is that anyone that is paying out a 15% dividend, the market has made a judgment that it is not sustainable. Feels the price has been driven way down because it was assembled and built as a dividend payer and the market is concerned they can’t keep paying this. Would be a little careful with this at this time. If you own, there may be a relief rally after tax loss selling, which may be a good time to get out.
His company has this as a Sector Perform with a one-year target of $2.50. Feels the Street is cautious about this on sustainability given target capital efficiencies and higher debt levels. Company is likely to implement a DRIP and likely look to sell some non-core assets. 13% dividend yield. Would be a little bit cautious on this.
This was a recapitalization of 3 different companies coming together. Owns a lot of it because he believes management is going to solve the balance sheet issue of too much debt leverage. They will do that through asset sales of non-core stuff that doesn’t really contribute to their ongoing cash flow. Once they do that, he believes there is a yield compression story that is going to unfold. Dividend would probably support an 8%-10% yield versus its current 13.5%. Not out of the question that they could attract some joint venture partners.
This is a combination of 3 companies that merged fairly recently. Pays a monthly dividend of about $0.02. The market is saying that the dividend is likely to be slashed. He doesn’t know why they are paying that much. It makes no sense to him. Have a debt load of over $300 million. Thinks they would be far better off if they started to trim back the dividend or eliminate it altogether. Usually when you have a merger of companies, there is also a write-down, so it would not surprise him if there were some write-downs coming up. Would be in no rush to purchase this. This might prove to be a good tax loss play.
(Top Pick Oct 23/13, Down 21.25%) Yield was very strong and he felt the stock should go up to bring the yield down. Management decided to sell assets. Then they had some operating issues. Then we didn’t get a warm summer so he liquidated. Soon afterwards the dividend was cut. We will see what they can do to get the debt lower.
14.2% dividend. There was some concern about the high dividend. High debt levels, plus lower cash flows mean that they should lower the dividend so they can meet their debt obligations. Short term it could take a hit but longer term it should do well.