SECURE Waste Infrastructure Corp.SES.TOSELLJun 05, 2026Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 05, 2026. Market Open.
He owns both. With the takeover, GFL stock dropped ~$10 initially. A number of investors thought GFL was off strategy, going from solid to liquid waste. SES won't be a large component, picked it up at fairly decent price.
One of the SES investors has said they won't tender shares and would like a bit more $$. You might see a sweeter offer -- no guarantee, of course. Doesn't hurt to hold on.
The energy sector has of course been volatile with recent events. We continue to see it as a decent sector play.
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One business is transmission -- stable, secure, predictable, about 20% of total. Waste business is the other 80% -- cleaning up in oil & gas segment, stable and recurring.
Trades at 12x PE, in line with the energy services business (except it's a waste management business, which trades at twice the multiple). The outlook on it is slowly transitioning. In the meantime earns 21% on capital, which is higher than typical energy services or waste management. Great management. Yield is 2.43%.
GFL is riskier and lower-quality in the space. Broadly speaking, waste is a need and not a want. Non-discretionary, non-cyclical. SES is a good business, but more cyclical -- regional, plus narrow focus on oilfields. Safer bet is to sell your shares before the deal closes.
He prefers, and owns, WM. Higher credit rating, more conservatively run, better mix of businesses.