Stockchase Opinions

Stockchase Insights Secure Energy Services SES-T BUY Sep 04, 2024

Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

For the quarter-ended, SES reported EPS of 12c missing estimates of 13c. Revenue (Excl oil purchase and resale) beat estimates of $333M coming in at $337M declining from $353M from the year prior. Adjusted EBITDA was $114M, declining from $119M but coming in well-ahead of forecasts of $102.15M. The comapny's CEO stated, "Strong second quarter results were driven by robust industry fundamentals, favorable weather conditions, and continued operational execution across our business units, resulting in double digit revenue growth on a same store sales basis." SES also raised its full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance and repurchased approximately 11% of outstanding shares in the quarter. The decline in revenue appears to be driven by wek industry conditions, but we think the results are fine outside of that. The adjusted EBITDA guidance raise is good to see and SES continues to be cheap at 13.5x forward earnings. 
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PAST TOP PICK
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DON'T BUY
Some of the service sector has not been doing as well as the energy themselves. It certainly has decent upside potential, more than $10. Would prefer to be in other areas of the energy sector.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 17/05. Down 1%.) An oil/gas service company. Dropped with the rest of them. Still likes it. Longer term energy services play.
BUY
Has been bouncing around a little bit because of sector rotation but with oil going back up its coming back. Excellent management team. There is a window of opportunity from 6 to 9 months for high prices to the oil service sector. There is also the potential for them to convert into a trust.
COMMENT
Has excellent management. Diversified their assets into North America, away from South America. Well run. There is a complete rotation in the sector with drilling being out of favour. Good hold for when it come back in favour.
DON'T BUY
Very high quality management. Unfortunately, they got caught in a downdraft in the energy services market and were not able to do all the acquisitions they were hoping for. Would prefer a lower price.
TOP PICK
An international oil/gas well drilling and service company. Service companies have been struggling because of the low price of gas. Earnings are expected to go from $.20 in his 2006 to $.42 in 2007 with another 32% growth in 2008. Ranks 22 one of 700.
WATCH
Ranks top third at 231 in his database. Looks like oil/gas service stocks are bottoming out. Not a Buy outright, but they are expected to grow earnings from $0.31 to $0.46 (48%) between 07 and 08.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick July 10/07. Down 1%.) Oil/gas drillers. The whole group is basically coming back.
WEAK BUY

Wish he had owned more shares. They did a good job selling off assets after the competition forced them.  The easy money has been made, unless they buy companies that reduces dependency to oil/gas.