Opinions
Andrew Pyle
Banco Santander SA
SAN-N
WAIT
May 28, 2025
$7.920
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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WEAK BUY
A unique franchise--a Spanish bank with a strong presence in Latin America as well as Europe and UK. It's a retail bank. Look at their growth in emerging markets, which is the key to the story. This can be volatile given the economies of those countries, especially during Covid. That said, they execute well. You buy this for the growth in Latin America.
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WEAK BUY
The large Spanish banks are up 40-50% this year due to more tourism spending there, plus the bank's diversification across Latin American. They may leave the UK and its high taxes and laws. But the Spanish banks are 3x riskier than European ones, because the Spanish one's non-performing assets are 3% vs. the 1% average. Take this with a grain of salt. SAN is having a great year, but is coming off previous lows.
banks
One of the larger banks in Europe, with an international footprint. In 6 months, there's been a sea change in sentiment on investing in Europe. Banks will reap the rewards of increased spending when we come out of this tumultuous time.
It's not that the gains aren't valid, but it's come a long way in a very short time. Will probably see a bit of a pullback, a bit rich now.