Stock price when the opinion was issued
The question asked the guest to compare the two with a view to buying one of them. She prefers Royal Bank right now. It just delivered record results and is growing at 10% year over year. TD has gone through a rough patch and is re-structuring which is eating into profits. She doesn't think Royal Bank will split.
Any potential stock split is irrelevant. The banks have been a wonderful thing in Canada, steady dividends that get raised frequently. Wouldn't sell and pay tax just to buy something else. Cooking on all cylinders. Best bank in Canada.
Know that all the banks have upped their non-Canadian exposure, so it's now about 50/50 Canada vs. outside Canada. RY has a very efficient US investment banking business, and is trying to expand retail.
Premium valuation for a premium bank with premium assets. Likes the name, but doesn't want to pay over $200. Didn't like many of the bank earnings last quarter because PCLs were released back into earnings once worst-case tariff scenario didn't come to pass. This was premature and too optimistic. Fears our economy might get worse before it gets better.
If you have it in your portfolio, keep it. But she's holding off on buying right now.
Outlook in Canada is a bit rosier than it was 6 or 12 months ago. He'd continue to hold the banks. Holds this name for almost all clients, and hasn't trimmed that position in many years. In fact, he adds when it sells off. It's his preference to own the highest-quality bank and ride it through the ups and downs, rather than switching among the banks.
Yes, the Canadian banks have dropped in the past month, given rising interest rate fears, but he would hold on for the long-term. Compared to a decade ago, the banks are well-capitalized. Yes, fintech could disrupt the banking industry, but the banks are aggressive in exploring this area. RY's dividend is safe. RY's ROE may slip a bit, but it's still generous. If anything, buy instead of selling RY and Canadian banks.