Stockchase Opinions

Duncan StewartRuggedCom Inc.RCM.TOTOP PICKDec 30, 2008

Governments will be spending a lot of money on infrastructure. Single biggest problem with global infrastructure is electrical grids. Most technology used in substations and across transmission and distribution, dates from the 1940's. This company makes high-end networking gear. They have 60% market share.
$12.70

Stock price when the opinion was issued

electricalelectronic
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BUY
Utility has been a pretty boring business but is now going through a massive transformation. This is one of the few ways to get leverage to this. Management are all GE guys.
BUY
Well regarded in regard to their products. Was heavily promoted about 1.5 years ago and then had a couple of weak quarters and really got slammed. Good underlying business and is now in recovery mode.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick April 7/10. Down 12.65%.) Released a quarter that was disappointing versus expectations. Still likes.
BUY
Beaten down from its high because some orders didn’t come through. Ruggedized networking and metering products for hydro grids, which will be in demand more and more with multiple sources of energy going into the grid. Be prepared for some shocks. He likes the management.
BUY
Manufacture ruggedized communications equipment such as routers/switches for electrical companies and transportation.. Great growth opportunity but Cisco (CSCO-T) is getting interested. Think they can fight them off for quite a while. Very strong management team.
TOP PICK
Q2 wasn't great from a growth perspective but Q3 was very strong. Now looking for a resumption in growth and then big profitability.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Mar 24/09. Down 19.67%.) Still a Buy.
COMMENT
Their product is one of the market leaders. Unfortunately it is chunky revenue. Came out with 8 or 9 great quarters in a row and a couple that were not so hot, largely because of the Cdn$. Half decent price right now. Cash is fine and backlog is increasing.
BUY
Still really likes it. There is a lots of spending on making the grid more reliable, since 2003. Great runway of backorders. Has been holding its price for a quarter or so. People are waiting to see if they are progressing as much as the stock price says it is.
COMMENT
One of the poster children for smart grid technology in North America.
COMMENT
Manufacture communication hardware for work in power areas where there is electrical interference. Making fantastic margins. Future is extremely positive.
TOP PICK
Niche market in making communication gear that works in power substations.
BUY
Part of the Smart grid and are closer to transformers. Most transformers are about 30 years old and need to be replaced. Electrical utilities are a very reliable client base. Infrastructure play. No visible backlog is a problem. Expecting a 19% earnings growth. Ranks well in his models.
WAIT
Benefits from infrastructure. The only drawback is that it has done extremely well recently. Running up stocks is not a good idea so wait for a pullback of 15%-20%. Earnings are great.
SELL
This is a speculation, not an investment. Very difficult challenge in how to value. Has no yield or distribution and it is hard to tell what the market cap of this stock should be. If he owned and had a gain, he would take his money off the table.