Daily Stock Opinions and Ratings

Opinions

John Stephenson Prime West Energy Trust PWI.UN-T SHORT Nov 16, 2006

Steep decline and high debt level. If you own sell. If you want a short position, this would be one.

John Stephenson

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$22.780

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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HOLD

Just announced a merger with Shiningbank (SHN.UN-T).

COMMENT

Merging with Shiningbank (SHN.UN-T). This will be an extremely large, gas focused trust. This will give them better economies of scale. Management team is very strong.

COMMENT

You will start to see a lot of these companies struggle.

COMMENT

No longer own. In evaluating energy income trusts, they ask, what are their reserves, how successful the company and management has been at finding and replacing those reserves, what is the quality of the balance sheet, ie does the company have the ability to survive a downdraft in the future.Likes to see a production profile that's increasing.

DON'T BUY

Merged with Shiningbank Energy (SHN.UN-T). Not particularly a great deal and doesn't represent a significant improvement to Primewest at this point. 13% yield.

COMMENT

3 gas-weighted companies that he feels will cut distributions are Trilogy (TET.UN-T), Advantage Energy (AVN.UN-T) and Prime West (PWI.UN-T).

WEAK BUY

Acquired Shiningbank (SHN.UN-T). Yields are approaching 14%. Wonders about production profile going forward but the acquisition should help. If you are confident on natural gas prices remaining solid, it could be okay. Risk/reward is weak.

COMMENT

Abu Dhabi National Energy is acquiring this company, which is a positive. Other trusts could also be targeted. 2 of his favourites Focus Energy (FET.UN-T) and Progress Energy (PGX.UN-T) are possibilities.

SELL

Has been the subject of her recent takeover from Abu Dhabi’s Taqa. It is almost trading at the deal price. Holding it for the next couple of months will give you a limited distribution. There is a slight bit of deal risk because of Alberta’s royalty review. He suggests you take your profits and run.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

You have to have a 3-year view on this. He would prefer it at $30. Likelihood of increasing dividends.

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John Stephenson Prime West Energy Trust PWI.UN-T SHORT Nov 16, 2006

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