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Poseidon Concepts (PSN.TO)

SELL

Has been a company name on people’s minds with the big sell off in the share price. They had very high margins and whenever a company has this it attracts competition, which has happened here. The bad results really caught a lot of people off guard and they are concerned about the dividend. It looks ok here but won’t recover any time soon.

SELL

Got out a while back. They under estimated the number of new entrants to the space. 18% yield. He has read that it is probably sustainable but he finds that hard to believe.

DON'T BUY

Controversial name. Large dividend yield. They are rental water tanks. Gross margins are around 70%, which will come down as competitors enter the space. Stay away from it.

BUY

Had it as a top pick a few months ago. Took a big hit this morning but does not know why. Company continuing to grow. Simple business – tanks to hold waste water from horizontal drilling. Good base of customers. Dividend is secure and it trades at a low multiple and high yield of 8%.

PAST TOP PICK

(Top Pick Dec 15/11, Up 31.51%) Above ground swimming pools for fracking. If they can double the amount of tanks there is room for margins to grow.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Nov 14/11. Up 36.12%.) They have a patent and have 80% of their market and there is still only a very small penetration in their business. There will be competition so doesn’t expect they will continue making the margins they are now.

DON'T BUY

7.3% dividend. Has not owned in a while. An interesting story. Now you have several new entrants in that business and they are just trying to stay ahead. Can’t maintain their margins. Not in it.

BUY

Spin out of an oil and gas company that offered a service to other customers. There is a lot of concern by street as to whether dividend is sustainable. Payback is good – one year payback. Earnings growth forecast. This is why he owns the stock. It has to rise by 4% to get the all clear for his stop loss. If it goes down below $13.50, then it is time for a re-assessment.

TOP PICK

Tanks holding fluids that they use in fracing. They are aware of the competition and are trying to make some improvement. This is a relatively small part of the oil/gas exploration budget for most companies. They have established a great reputation of reliability, safety, environmental concerns.

BUY

(Market Call Minute) Loves it. Loves the dividend.

COMMENT
Have done really well with their tanks. Margins are huge and building their tanks as fast as they can and putting them under contract. Now there are 10 other competitors doing this. Margins have come down and they're going to have to find other things to do with their cash flow. Feels there is no problem with the dividend for the next couple of years.
COMMENT
Dividend is extremely secure for a couple of years. Their margins are so robust, even if there is a decrease in revenues and a decrease in pricing power, they have a very insulated dividend.
DON'T BUY
This is the type of company where retail investors can get hurt quite badly. Carries a high dividend. With its current margin structure, it can support the dividend. However the barriers for entry of their tanks by competition are not large. There will be a lot of competition. Also with his views on energy, the dividend will not be sustainable. He is looking at Shorting this one.
PAST TOP PICK
(Top Pick Dec 15/11, Up 25.36%)
HOLD
Screens really well on his numbers but has also had a huge amount of hype from the brokerage community. He would wait a couple more quarters and if things stay the way they are he would buy.
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