TSE:PSK

PrairieSky Royalty (PSK.TO)

34.14
-0.65 (1.87%)
as of Jun 5, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
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Investor Insights
star iconJun 8, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 2 opinions in the last 12 months.

PrairieSky Royalty (PSK-T) has garnered attention for being exceptionally well-run and achieving an all-time high recently. However, experts express concerns regarding its valuation, particularly its price-to-earnings ratio, which stands at 19.5x, projected to drop to 18x next year. The free cash flow yield of 5% and a dividend yield of 3% have been flagged as not particularly compelling for investors. While the stock has shown strong performance over the past several years and has good exposure to the Clearwater, there is some skepticism about the upside potential, with estimates suggesting around a 10% increase, which does not excite all analysts. Overall, the experts appear divided on how to assess the fair multiple for a royalty company like PrairieSky, as bullish oil sentiments don’t necessarily translate to favorable valuations for its stock.

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Consensus
Mixed
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Valuation
Fair Value
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MEG,MEG
DON'T BUY
Believes company was over valued at IPO. Good management team that has been buying back stock and paying down debt. Thinks there are other Canadian energy stocks to hold. Not undervalued enough to justify investment.
BUY

Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. A solid company for the sector. Balance sheet and cash flow looks good. Growth is positive and they managed the pandemic well. They cut dividends but it is now much higher than before. Their recent deal is good and is the right move for the company. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

WEAK BUY
Great long-term land position, tilted toward natural gas which should benefit them in coming quarters. Performance was especially poor in the downdraft, as it had been a darling. Cut dividend. He owns FRU instead, a bit smaller and has returned their dividend, and they have catalysts with acquisitions south of the border. Both names will do well, but he prefers FRU.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Likes royalty because there is less business risk. However, it is not risk free. Probably a good buy on dips. The reflation trade is interesting. For the next 6-12 months, it is okay for a trade.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 25/19, Down 53%) They sold out when they were stopped out last July. It is tough in the energy space right now. Investors have to avoid trying to be a bottom feeder and trade with tight stop loss levels.
DON'T BUY
They reported results yesterday, which were pretty much in line with expectations. The corporate decline rate is 19%, which is manageable. He likes the management team. However, with a low beta to oil price recovery, he is looking elsewhere.
COMMENT
They've been pressured by the price of oil, but PSK is a low-risk way of playing oil. PSK is spread out over thousands of royalties. This is good is you expect oil to remain flat, but not so good is oil takes off.
TOP PICK
Great business. Around $20 or below is a great level. Well positioned going forward. When oil companies are flush with cash, money will go back into more production, and they'll benefit. Yield is 3.81%. (Analysts’ price target is $22.24)
TOP PICK

This is a controversial name because it is a long term asset being valued on near term momentum and missed numbers last quarter. They don’t give projections on production numbers. They have no debt. It is a buy and hold kind of stock. (Analysts’ target: $32.07).

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Mar 20/17, Up 4%) His only energy stock. It is not a producer but is a royalty company. They missed on production guidance by 900 barrels and they lost 8-9% and it makes no sense to him. He likes it. It is a way to have oil exposure without capital risk. It is nice light oil. The balance sheet is impeccable.

BUY

Is the only Canadian oil stock he owns. [see CPG-Tcomment today.]

TOP PICK

One of the oil patch casualties that has actually done okay. He likes royalty structures because you don’t have capital investment risks, and this one has no debt on the balance sheet. Oil price recovery gives them torque to the upside. During the horrific oil environment of 2015-2016, they proved their ability to generate good cash flow. Dividend yield of 2.7%. (Analysts’ price target is $34.75.)

SELL

He would Sell this in favour of more conventional producers. It’s an awesome company, but from a stock perspective, he is kind of challenged to be asked to pay 27X cash flow. Feels the stock is approaching fair value.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Sept 2/15. Up 8.33%.) This is an easy one, because it is a royalty. There is no drilling involved. Essentially, all the cash flow can be paid out to shareholders. There is no debt involved in the story. However, the valuation is really stretched now.

COMMENT

A less volatile play than a regular producer, as they don’t have the same operating leverage. It is a royalty business, which means they don’t own trucks etc., but are still ultimately at the whim of commodity prices. A very long-term high-quality business where you look at the free cash flow you are getting today under certain scenarios. The key, over the long, long term, is the optionality. You benefit from things like improvements in technology. A great model. Good management.

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