TSE:PPL

Pembina Pipeline Corp (PPL.TO)

65.66
-0.85 (1.28%)
as of Sep 21, 2026, 6:02:27 pm Market Open.
1167 watching
0
DON'T BUY

It pays a nice yield, but lacks a catalyst. He prefers natural gas names in energy. Also, what will happen in Venezuela?

BUY
15% of the investor's portfolio.

Weighting is always a difficult thing. When you have a high-weight position and it works, it's great. Not so much when it doesn't work. Tough for him to comment without knowing an investor's particular situation, but this caller seems to know a lot about the company. That knowledge and insight help mitigate the risk when having a concentrated position. You have to know your stock well, otherwise you get hit by something.

Likes the name, doesn't own (but has in past). His preference in the space is ENB. But when you compare the two, PPL has a really strong growth profile and that's a really big positive. As for the valuation, it's quite reasonable. As is the payout ratio, so not a lot of dividend risk. Tends to trade at a bit of a discount relative to ENB because of its collection of midstream assets (not everything has the same contracted profile as an oil or gas pipeline).

Trades south of 10x cashflow. Well-protected dividend. Good growth. No problem owning this one at all.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 04/25, Up 8%)

Likes it a lot; would've been a Top Pick again, if it weren't a Past Top Pick. Chart shows big spike up in October on data centre news, then came back off because KKR is potentially shopping its stake in JV with Pembina. Market has concerns on floating LNG project, but he doesn't. 

Chart shows it trying to bump through $55, but keeps bouncing off. Once it gets through there, looks pretty good. Growth prospects still good. Meanwhile, clip a 5% dividend while you wait.

TOP PICK

They have tons of assets, strategically located. Earnings have been decent. Pays a 5.2% dividend. The Canadian government is now a little warmer towards pipelines.

(Analysts’ price target is $58.85)
TRADE

Draw a line from the pre-fracking peak in 2014 to now, and shares have not moved up much since. A good operator, though.  Best to buy below $50 and sell in the upper $50s.

BUY

Her pick in the midstream space, based on its underlying assets. Mix of oil and gas infrastructure. Sees growth in natural gas from LNG Canada and power consumption. Yield is in the 5% range -- not the highest, but still sizeable compared with what you get from the overall market.

WEAK BUY
PPL vs. ENB

ENB came down and tested the 200-day MA at the end of October. In a series of higher highs and higher lows. Really great capital allocator. Has opportunities to grow with changes in political views on pipelines.

PPL also looks good. But if he had to choose one for a main portfolio holding, it would be ENB.

BUY

Natural gas is a seasonal plan; you can't predict supply/demand year to year. PPL is volatile, between $48-58. He does like the chart, because it reveals $52 as resistance and support. Now, it's bouncing off support, not a bad thing.

Unspecified

META is building a big new data centre near Edmonton which could help Pembina. It has a reasonable P/E and pays a 5% dividend with a 57% payout ratio. Part of the question was on borrowing to invest. He feels that if the borrowed money is used properly then it is good but you need to use common sense. Consider stocks that grow regularly year after year and pay better dividends than the interest on the loans. However the liquidity in the markets can really shake people out.

BUY

Really likes it. If you have a bit higher risk tolerance, you get a lot more upside. Yield is similar to that of ENB, but with a lot more growth. LNG project will come online in BC in 3-4 years. Potential META power centre. A play on the still-very-strong outlook of nat gas in Western Canada. Faster dividend and cashflow growth.

He's been adding here in the low $50s. Down in sympathy with rest of energy, but that can reverse any time (as we're seeing today). Very high quality, infrastructure-like assets.

TOP PICK

Complementary to ARX -- it's more of a producer with some infrastructure, whereas PPL is almost 100% infrastructure. Temporarily ran up on news about working with META. Now KKR is selling its minority stake in a JV with PPL, but concern is that PPL is the one who's going to buy it (to the tune of $5-7B). 

He doesn't really care. Company's really well positioned for future LNG in 2027, has great amount of gas processing all throughout the Basin. Power demand from nat gas is on the rise. He continues to buy at full weights in all client accounts. Yield is 5.33%.

(Analysts’ price target is $58.88)
DON'T BUY

He's been cautious on the pipes. The pipeline ETF in the US is hitting RSI new lows for the year, as are a lot of the pipes in Canada (including the best-performing one, ENB, which he owns). Fine for yield.

People looking at long-life, more-utility-type assets are focusing more on electrical power generation. In that camp, you might look at CPX.

BUY
PPL vs. ENB

Likes and owns both. If she had to buy one today, it would be PPL. ENB has already seen growth. PPL lagged for a lot of this year, flat to negative, up until last week with Alberta data centre announcement. Strong management and strong track record.

BUY

Owns pipelines and midstream assets (where nat gas goes through, and they clean it up and send it out). Good growth projects on the West Coast with, potentially, Cedar LNG. Likes it a lot. Good dividend, which grows. Good balance sheet. Core holding.

WATCH

Chart shows an emerging downtrend. Support around $49.50. Hard to say if range-bound between $49.50 and $58.50, though it is creeping up toward the high end. He'd want to see it break out above $56-57, or at least take out the previous high so you're not in the trend of lower highs anymore.

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