Pembina Pipeline CorpPPL.TOBUYOct 13, 2020Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jul 21, 2026. Market Open.
Both benefit from AI centre demand. Pembina is building a 1.8 gigawatt natural gas plant in Alberta. Half of ALA's business is in the US, regulated utilities, in Virginia--the world capital of data centre traffic. ALA also has activity in Western Canada. ALA's growth rate is higher than Pembina. ALA gets the slight edge.
APO has pretty smart people, and they're seeing an opportunity here. Purchase was from KKR, so nothing much changes.
As for PPL itself, trading a bit expensive with growth catalysts of 5-7%. Nice, visible project backlog. Nice dividend. Wouldn't add here, but you'll do OK if you own it.
Still thinks KEY is the better buy.
Keyera vs. Pembina He owns both. Keyera: pays a slightly higher dividend, but also slightly riskier, due to its mix of liquids and gas processing, so probably more earnings volatility short-term. Pembina is a pipeline play with operating cash flow around 9-10x. They were resilient in the downturn. What's good about both is that they are sensitive to volumes, not the oil price, especially Pembina. The dividends are safe and earnings resilient. If the stocks do nothing, at least both pay more than 8% in dividend yields.