Pembina Pipeline CorpPPL.TOCOMMENTOct 04, 2017Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Oct 01, 2026. Market Open.
Exposure to the 4 horsemen of Western Canadian growth: gas, LNG, condensate, and crude. Partnership with META. Heartland Extraction Plant should see more volumes. Leverage to the pipeline going west out of Alberta. Exposure to Cedar LNG facility under construction.
Low double-digit internal growth, plus dividend yield, gives you ~15% annual compound return. Yield is 4.65%.
They will benefit from the long-term investments that Canadian government is making in Western Canada, like growing oil and natural gas production (LNG Canada). They have a good track record of completing projects on time and on budget. Always a good dividend payer, now at 4.5%. The midstreams are a safe way to play ongoing production in Western Canada.
There are some overhangs on deals with KKR and Apollo but it is well run and has the best growth prospects of similar companies. The coming increase of LNG is good for Pembina as the Canadian infrastructure gets larger. Even at higher prices today it is showing strength.
A name for a good dividend and safety. Pipelines are not quite as good as utilities, because they're perceived as being commodity-sensitive (even though they're really not).
You'll get your dividend, and the safety means you can sleep at night (and that's worth something). You can get diversification via funds and ETFs.
If there is a down day for oil, that is going to be a downer for this, because it is storage and pipelines. The big problem in Alberta is that there is nowhere to send by pipeline, because all the pipelines are being held up. This is one of the better providers for storage and pipelines. Their balance sheet is decent. They’ve been making acquisitions that have been improving their revenues over time. Free cash flow has been stagnant, but then it is basically a quasi utility anyways. Dividend growth is 7% and CapX is up 53%.