Pembina Pipeline CorpPPL.TOCOMMENTAug 29, 2017Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Oct 01, 2026. Market Open.
Exposure to the 4 horsemen of Western Canadian growth: gas, LNG, condensate, and crude. Partnership with META. Heartland Extraction Plant should see more volumes. Leverage to the pipeline going west out of Alberta. Exposure to Cedar LNG facility under construction.
Low double-digit internal growth, plus dividend yield, gives you ~15% annual compound return. Yield is 4.65%.
They will benefit from the long-term investments that Canadian government is making in Western Canada, like growing oil and natural gas production (LNG Canada). They have a good track record of completing projects on time and on budget. Always a good dividend payer, now at 4.5%. The midstreams are a safe way to play ongoing production in Western Canada.
There are some overhangs on deals with KKR and Apollo but it is well run and has the best growth prospects of similar companies. The coming increase of LNG is good for Pembina as the Canadian infrastructure gets larger. Even at higher prices today it is showing strength.
A name for a good dividend and safety. Pipelines are not quite as good as utilities, because they're perceived as being commodity-sensitive (even though they're really not).
You'll get your dividend, and the safety means you can sleep at night (and that's worth something). You can get diversification via funds and ETFs.
With weak energy prices, it is hard to get excited about anything in energy. Prefers pipelines where the fundamentals don’t really matter that much if oil is $50 or $100, the stuff has to be moved. In the process of acquiring Veresen (VSN-T), and if it goes through, they are promising a dividend hike. Has a great track record of raising dividends. A good business to be in. If interest rates continue to stay low, you can’t do worse than holding a stock that has a 4% plus dividend.