Stock price when the opinion was issued
POT-T and AGU-T amalgamation. Mid-October is the expected merger date. He thinks it is a positive to have them together. These are such big companies that the market has discounted synergies. You will get a lower yield on POT-T after the merger which some may not like. He sees it net sideways from here. He does not like the fertilizer outlook from here. He would rather miss the first 5-10% to see if it trends up.
POT-T & AGU-T. AGU-T was a buy and hold when he was last on. It has been kind of bouncing around. He has always liked the retail part. Also, it is global. The Texan floods could impact AGU-T with a psychological effect on investors. POT-T is starting to perk up in the US and they signed a Chinese contract. He would not sell out just because of the merger.
The acquisition has been delayed. They are picking a new name. They will have to sell some assets. Canadian and Chinese regulatory authorities have approved the acquisition. It will likely close in late Q4 this year. There will be a lack of competition in the potash industry. There is a lot of supply coming on in it.
At current prices this could be a good long-term investment. They have had a fairly good turn of events lately. Their last quarter had a bit of a beat and they increased their dividend at that point. It is a little bit murky over the next year as they expect global demand is probably going to be a little bit less then last year. Thinks earnings in the next couple of years should get over the $2 level. Also, feels the dividend is secure. He prefers Agrium (AGU-T) as it is a little more diversified.