Opinions
The Panic-Proof Portfolio (Stockchase Research)
Primaris REIT
PMZ.UN-T
PAST TOP PICK
Oct 29, 2024
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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Fundamentals are good. Leasing spreads were up 8.7% last quarter. H&R Reit (HR.UN-T) has made a bid to acquire them and it looks like this will go through. If this still works, the economy is going to have to be good for retail. H&R is probably going to be coming to market to issue equity. Fundamentals are still in place for REITs.
Operates in malls, which makes everyone run for the exits. Operates in centres such as Kelowna, Guelph and Halifax. Places where there's only 1 mall, and nobody's building malls. So they have lots of power as landlords about who they'll accept as tenants, along with pricing power.
Very high quality. One of the best REITs in the whole sector. Trades at 40% discount to NAV.
Premium contentPMZ.UN is Canada's only REIT focused on enclosed shopping centres that it owns and operates. The company recently reported over 94% occupancy commitments, a funds payout ratio of only 52%, and no debt retiring in 2024. It trades at 11x earnings and under book value. We recommend setting a stop-loss at $11.90, looking to achieve $17.00 -- upside potential of 22%. Yield 6.0%
Premium contentWe reiterate this low leverage, low payout ratio REIT with significant free cash flow as a TOP PICK. We like that cash reserves are growing, while debt is aggressively retired. It trades at 20x earnings and under book value. The yield is backed by a FFO ratio under 55%. We recommend trailing up the stop (from $11.90) to $13.75, looking to achieve $18.50 -- upside potential of 18%. Yield 5.4%
Premium contentOur PAST TOP PICK with PMZ.UN has triggered its stop at $18.50. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. When combined with our previous guidance, this will result in a net investment Gain of 4%.
He scratches his head about this too. Likes it here. A bit of concern about shopping malls in general, with their sensitivity to the consumer. From what his team sees, consumers are continuing to spend $$. And it's cold up here, we love our malls. Great numbers, excellent balance sheet will provide stable returns going forward.
Does have some HBC stores. But their retail team is one of the best and should be able to unlock a lot of value with minimal investment.
Our PAST TOP PICK with PMZ.UN is progressing well. To remain disciplined, we recommend trailing up the stop (from $13.75) to $15.25 at this time.