Pfizer IncPFEBUYMar 21, 2018Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Sep 14, 2026. Market Open.
Pharma and biotech are seeing better leadership in the market. Partly because these sectors are going to be big implementers of AI, and the sector was out of favour for quite some time. They tend to be pretty big cash generators.
Problem is very low growth. Estimates have not been going higher. Stock's rallying on the back of the sector getting better. But he's a big fan of focusing on the leaders in a sector. You won't get hurt with PFE, but he'd definitely lean toward LLY, which he owns. Yield is 6%.
Likes it. The one thing that gives him pause is that it's been a laggard compared to other names. In sideways consolidation, trying to break out. Doesn't mind nibbling here. If we get above $30 or so, that would complete the breakout pattern and you could add more in size.
Likes the 4.5-5% dividend you get paid to wait. As well, late in the cycle is when people get defensive. This is one of those beautiful, defensive, boring stocks. He'd definitely buy.
He gave up and sold it a year or so ago. Their drugs face a patent cliff. Developing drugs is risky and expensive. They have a lot of recurring revenue and will likely develop a blockbuster drug, but will it cover the patent cliff? They carry lots of debt from buying companies constantly (they have to).
Attractive dividend. More of a marketing engine (and it's been really successful) than a drug development company. Once that Iran conflict trade comes off, defensives will be likely recipients. If you own, he probably wouldn't sell here; keep collecting the dividend, and perhaps sell later on strength.
Not everything in your portfolio will be going gangbusters at all times. Leadership rotates and takes turns.
Wasted $$ after the pandemic. Now refocused. Blockbuster drugs are tapped out, needs a new one. They will find one, and you could make a lot of money.
Meanwhile, you collect the yield of 7% (which is probably good for the next 3 years). If they don't find a monster drug by then, dividend will probably be cut. He's taking the risk.
It over-earned during Covid which was not sustainable. It is trying to make up for lost revenue now. It is a high quality company but needs a near term catalyst. Its pipeline investments will take a while. Dividend yield is attractive. Look for more attractive health care companies with both dividend and growth opportunities.
Teva or Pfizer? He sold Teva 18 months ago. Generic drug prices are under pressure though have levelled off. Their migraine drug has struggled. Instead, he prefers Pfizer with 140 drugs generating $100 million in revenues. They make good acquisitions and are enjoying great progress in oncology. They're also repatriating $24.5 billion with $5 million going to buybacks. Just announced they want to sell their consumer products division, so the impact of this is unknown. 12x forward earnings. Fabulously run company. Talk of major acquisitions. Happy to hold this.