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Palo Alto NetworksPANWSELLApr 19, 2016Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 12, 2026. Market Open.
Likes cybersecurity, but look at the move on the chart since April, and now it's gone parabolic -- doesn't like that trend. He doesn't want to be that buyer when everyone else is getting out.
That said, expects significant growth in security markets. Premier name, great company. Wait for a better entry point. The recent pullback is not enough. Be patient, you'll get your chance. Below $200 would be the time to take a look.
Is in a strong uptrend with higher highs since late February. Each pullback has been a fine buying opportunity with strong volumes. The Chakykin Money Flow shows strong institutional buying which surprised him in a good way. Are lots of options flows. The market is bullish.
After talking to tech CEOs, she doesn't believe AI will take over their business like PANW's but rather will get even more business as companies use more AI to code. Doesn't see the catalyst with PANW, but fundamentals are strong and product revenues and margins are growing. They will buy back $1 billion in shares. Trades at 10x price to sales (CRWD is at 25x). She will stick with it and will eventually buy more, though present weakness is frustrating.
Earnings per share of $1.03 beat the $0.94 estimate, and revenue of $2.6B topped the $2.58B forecast. Revenue rose 15% year-over-year, driven by subscription and support sales (roughly 80% of total). Operating margins stayed around 30%, and RPO of $16.0B grew 23%. FY2026 guidance calls for 22-23% revenue growth and EPS of $3.65-$3.70. Investors found the profit outlook conservative despite strong results and raised revenue guidance, though this caution reflected integration costs from major acquisitions. They viewed the results as solid but noted the stock has declined with the broader software selloff. They would consider buying gradually at current levels while acknowledging potential for further downside. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free
Cybersecurity companies won't be going away, not easily replaced. Drop could be due to multiple compression. Just because a stock used to be $xxx, doesn't mean that was the value of it. Good company, and maybe the price should never have been $220.
Going forward, these types of companies should be good. They'll be volatile.
As for its being part of an ETF, there's a good chance it would be in a software ETF and would (theoretically) be drawn down along with that sector.
Security software came under pressure in December. They were higher multiple stocks, so were a little more expensive. Feels the long-term picture for security is very, very good, but thinks that what is happening in the near term is that many of the sectors that are benefiting in this market are sectors that are a little bit more economically sensitive. The stock broke down at about $168, and is now trading at $140. He would need to see the price start to behave better, relative to the market. He would move on and look at other sectors.