
NYSE:ORCL
This summary was created by AI, based on 45 opinions in the last 12 months.
Oracle (ORCL-N) is experiencing significant market volatility as it positions itself as a key player in the AI and data centre sectors. Analysts express concern over its debt levels, which have been exacerbated by substantial capital expenditures for data centre construction. While some experts predict strong future earnings driven by AI initiatives, including an EPS forecast of $15 by 2029 and over $20 by 2030, there are apprehensions about current cash flow and overall financial stability. Several reviews highlight the necessity for Oracle to demonstrate effective management of its debt and capital costs while pursuing aggressive growth in the cloud infrastructure market. Despite these challenges, the company's recent performances, including beating earnings estimates, suggest that there remains potential for recovery and growth in the longer term.
Really surged in Sept/Oct based on strong cloud contract wins. Stock's now reverted back to 200-day MA (it's just above right now). Will grow ~15-18%, paying ~30x PE (not cheap, but not expensive compared to some of the fringe names in the space).
Don't sell here, might bounce off the 200-day. Plus, the tech markets are having a bit of trouble this week. RSI is oversold at 26%, so it's not the time to sell.
Debt to equity is roughly 3.9X and interest coverage is 5X. The company has carried higher debt loads in the pat and we would not be too concerned about the debt here. Gross margins at the business are in the 65% range and net margins are in the 15% to 20% range, so we don't think margins are overly concerning either and there is some 'wiggle room' to take on higher growth, lower margin businesses as well, while still having a healthy margin profile.
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Ironic that recent revenue and earnings missed, but it sees cloud infrastructure segment swelling from $10.3B in 2025 to $144B by 2030. Big winner of AI boom. Could be involved in TikTok ownership. Despite all the talk of capex, looks rather asset-light to him.
Huge run, but he's still modelling 28% EPS growth from 2026-2029. Trades at 38x for 2027 and 27x for 2028, kind of an expensive PEG, but not bad. Don't buy at the top, accumulate on pullbacks.
Went into yesterday with a 6% position in his fund, now just above 8%. Probably won't trim until it gets between 9-10%. Backlog was 360% more than what was expected.
Views it same way as IBM. Both are legacy technology stocks. But then the light went on and they got into the cloud and data centres.