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NYSE:ORCL
This summary was created by AI, based on 44 opinions in the last 12 months.
Oracle Corporation is currently navigating through a challenging period characterized by significant investments in data center infrastructure amid rising debt levels. Analysts express mixed sentiments, with some highlighting the potential for Oracle to emerge as an AI powerhouse, supported by its partnership with OpenAI and a promising EPS growth projection by 2030. However, concerns regarding cost control, capital expenditure, and the impact of AI investments persist. The company has seen volatile stock performance, with recent sharp declines following mixed earnings reports and a general downturn in the software sector. Overall, while Oracle has potential growth avenues, uncertainties about its financial health and execution of its strategic vision make the outlook complex and variable.
They build data centres better than anyone. It doesn't live or die depending on AI, though it is taking on a lot of debt. ChapGPT is their biggest business partner. He wouldn't write off either company in the face of Google's (and Broadcom's) current success with Gemini 3, but any company depending on ChatGPT is suddenly more precarious.
Really surged in Sept/Oct based on strong cloud contract wins. Stock's now reverted back to 200-day MA (it's just above right now). Will grow ~15-18%, paying ~30x PE (not cheap, but not expensive compared to some of the fringe names in the space).
Don't sell here, might bounce off the 200-day. Plus, the tech markets are having a bit of trouble this week. RSI is oversold at 26%, so it's not the time to sell.
Debt to equity is roughly 3.9X and interest coverage is 5X. The company has carried higher debt loads in the pat and we would not be too concerned about the debt here. Gross margins at the business are in the 65% range and net margins are in the 15% to 20% range, so we don't think margins are overly concerning either and there is some 'wiggle room' to take on higher growth, lower margin businesses as well, while still having a healthy margin profile.
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Ironic that recent revenue and earnings missed, but it sees cloud infrastructure segment swelling from $10.3B in 2025 to $144B by 2030. Big winner of AI boom. Could be involved in TikTok ownership. Despite all the talk of capex, looks rather asset-light to him.
Huge run, but he's still modelling 28% EPS growth from 2026-2029. Trades at 38x for 2027 and 27x for 2028, kind of an expensive PEG, but not bad. Don't buy at the top, accumulate on pullbacks.
Went into yesterday with a 6% position in his fund, now just above 8%. Probably won't trim until it gets between 9-10%. Backlog was 360% more than what was expected.
Views it same way as IBM. Both are legacy technology stocks. But then the light went on and they got into the cloud and data centres.