
NYSE:ORCL
This summary was created by AI, based on 46 opinions in the last 12 months.
Oracle Corporation is currently experiencing a tumultuous period marked by significant volatility and market skepticism towards its heavy investments in AI and data centers. Although the company recently reported better-than-expected earnings, concerns about its rising debt levels and cash flow issues continue to loom over investor sentiment. Many analysts see potential in Oracle's long-term earnings growth, particularly through its AI initiatives, projecting substantial EPS increases by 2030. However, a strong reliance on AI and concerns about competition, particularly from better-capitalized peers, has led to caution among experts, with a significant number recommending to hold or wait before making further investments. Despite some optimistic projections, the overall view remains cautious, with calls for prudent positioning amidst ongoing uncertainties in the tech sector.
Really surged in Sept/Oct based on strong cloud contract wins. Stock's now reverted back to 200-day MA (it's just above right now). Will grow ~15-18%, paying ~30x PE (not cheap, but not expensive compared to some of the fringe names in the space).
Don't sell here, might bounce off the 200-day. Plus, the tech markets are having a bit of trouble this week. RSI is oversold at 26%, so it's not the time to sell.
Debt to equity is roughly 3.9X and interest coverage is 5X. The company has carried higher debt loads in the pat and we would not be too concerned about the debt here. Gross margins at the business are in the 65% range and net margins are in the 15% to 20% range, so we don't think margins are overly concerning either and there is some 'wiggle room' to take on higher growth, lower margin businesses as well, while still having a healthy margin profile.
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Ironic that recent revenue and earnings missed, but it sees cloud infrastructure segment swelling from $10.3B in 2025 to $144B by 2030. Big winner of AI boom. Could be involved in TikTok ownership. Despite all the talk of capex, looks rather asset-light to him.
Huge run, but he's still modelling 28% EPS growth from 2026-2029. Trades at 38x for 2027 and 27x for 2028, kind of an expensive PEG, but not bad. Don't buy at the top, accumulate on pullbacks.
Went into yesterday with a 6% position in his fund, now just above 8%. Probably won't trim until it gets between 9-10%. Backlog was 360% more than what was expected.
Views it same way as IBM. Both are legacy technology stocks. But then the light went on and they got into the cloud and data centres.
If it doesn't show positive cash flow in a few years and will return to the net marks (again) in 2029-30... He likes it, but don't put all your eggs in one basket. Tech stocks like Oracle more speculative than, say, Google.