
NYSE:ORCL
Switch from Oracle (ORCL-N) to Microsoft (MSFT-Q)? He likes Oracle. If you had to choose he would back Microsoft over Oracle. This company has some issues with Cloud in terms of inevitably being a threat to their business model, but doesn’t think there is any sort of issue over the near-term. Also, likes the fact that Microsoft had been a basket case for so long and Oracle has had its act together for the last 6 or 7 years. This is a fine company.
After their quarterly release, they did pretty well. Reorganized their sales force as they had pretty soft sales. In the big cap tech space, you wonder how much competition is out there and what people are missing. Over the last little bit there is more optimism. Not one of the cheapest at this point but they have great market position.
Trades at 10X earnings and has massive free cash flow. Buying back $12 billion worth of stock every year. Raising its dividend. They will be reducing shares outstanding and earnings don’t have to grow by very much as long as they shrink the float and it could trade at a 13-15 valuation which gets you to $45-$50.
Great company, strong position in databases. Companies find it hard to move away from them. The problem is that the DB business is fairly mature. Oracle is slow to adapt to the cloud, however they are also unsure how to deal with ‘Big Data’. Others are finding that the world is changing very rapidly. A solid company but the transition is going to start to eat into their growth. This does not qualify according to his growth criteria.
(A Top Pick September 10/12. Up 0.84%.) Has been struggling as all technology companies have been struggling with a slow global economy. Businesses do not have a lot of confidence in investing in technology and this company has to develop to stay competitive. Doing a good job and have a strong balance sheet. Increased their dividend. Still a Buy.
About a year ago he was alarmed by the fact that the sales revenue line was decelerating. When he looked into this, he found that the earnings were keeping up but it was because they were cutting costs, which is fine, but that only goes on so long. Revenues are the fuel. He continues to see weak revenues.
(Top Pick Jul 08/13, Up 34.93%) Sold because it got a little rich. 14-15 times earnings. He should have hung on longer. PE is not bad and they have a good buyback program in place and it is a great way to play IT spending. If you still own it hang on to it.