Netflix Inc.NFLXCOMMENTMay 26, 2017Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Oct 21, 2026. Market Open.
He bought more, though it's a small position, because it traded down on a downgrade--but this was piling onto a stock that already had a tough time. He thinks for a trade, this will bounce. He though their last quarter was good, though the market didn't. With everybody so negative on Netflix, he thinks the bad news is already baked in.
He's buying more shares. Investors worry NFLX is losing share to YouTube and TokTok, while Paramount and Warners will likely merge. But NFLX still has the largest user base in the world and they make the most money per engagement. This allows them to add more content than their peers. They still grow revenues and profits. Still likes it.
(Note the short timeframe.) The market loved it for a while after the abandoned WBD deal. Then market started to focus on competition. But people aren't cancelling subscriptions; in fact, just the opposite. Trades at 20x 2027 PE for double-digit growth, terrific balance sheet. Boundless opportunities, sees so much upside.
In terms of the chart and price action, this has been more than impressive, but looking at valuations, he has a mixed view. This is a stock that is trading at almost 100X forward earnings, albeit it does have a 30%-40% expected growth rate, which still gives it a 2.4X PEG ratio, a little rich for him. Feels a breakthrough in China is still elusive to them. Expansion in international markets hasn’t been that profitable. There is still potential for serious competition from places like Amazon, Google and HBO.