Stockchase Opinions

David Fingold Microsoft Corp MSFT-Q BUY Dec 27, 2018

DIS-N vs. MFST-Q. DIS-N is a fine company. He has been examining it carefully for the last few years. He likes the acquisitions but has not pulled the trigger. They intend to build a platform to compete with Netflix and he needs to know what that will cost will be in order to project future revenues. He owns a lot of MSFT-Q and prefers it. It is an easy stock to own because they are one of the three leaders in cloud computing. It will have recurring revenues. It will better survive a recession.
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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 10/24, Up 9%)

Incredibly wide competitive moat. Growing quickly, especially in Azure and the cloud. Globally dominant franchise difficult to dislocate anytime soon.

BUY

It's a great company, because monetizing AI though Copilot adoption is early.

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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Mar 27/25, Up 17.3%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with MSFT is progressing well.  To remain disciplined, we recommend trailing up the stop (from $374) to $412 at this time.  

TOP PICK

Likes the stickiness to both personal and corporate clients -- once you get into the network, it's very hard to get out. Cloud business has improved significantly. If quantum computing ever comes to the forefront, MSFT is there. 

ROIC is 23% vs. WACC of 9%. This gives them lots of cashflow to pour money into the next greatest thing. R&D development is important, given how fast things are changing these days. Yield is 0.72%.

(Analysts’ price target is $513.08)
HOLD
MSFT vs. META

Excellent company that meets his criteria. If you made him choose one or the other today, he'd have to say META based on valuation (with the assumption that the investor would hold a position for the long run). MSFT trading ~37-38x PE, whereas META is in the mid-high 20s.

TRADE

One of his top-performing stocks. He targets $514. Very well-run company. Boasts solid moats in enterprise software and operating systems, which ensures recurring revenue and customer retention. Azure Cloud remains second only to AWS. The valuation may be elevated, but MSFT is good now for selling some calls given volatility. Keep the calls pretty sure, writing calls around $490-495.

BUY

You still have to see how they will capitalize on AI, but they are in the best position to capitalize.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 24/24, Up 8%)

Hitting all-time record highs, with more upside. Still holds. His biggest exposure to technology.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Historically trades at 25x PE, but is now 37x, not cheap.

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Mar 27/25, Up 26.9%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with MSFT is progressing well.  To remain disciplined, we recommend trailing up the stop (from $412) to $453 at this time.