Merck & CompanyMRKDON'T BUYOct 10, 2024Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jul 31, 2026. Market Open.
Keytruda makes up half of sales, which makes the market nervous, because the drug faces a patent cliff in a few years. Their pipeline is deep, and the acquisitions they made will replenish that pipeline. Even when it goes off-patent, Keytruda will remain a preferred drug by doctors.
Today's downward move isn't all that outsized. There's been more clarity on US drug pricing. Seeing a bit of market exhaustion, as US pharma is trading at huge premiums relative to their own history.
Rerating from pricing clarity has already been baked in. R&D pipeline in the sector is a mixed bag, doesn't trust it.
Healthcare space provides nice combination of growth with stability, in case we get into latter stage of economic cycle. Likes the space, but not this name. Price fell below 200-day MA in July, though that 200-day MA is moving higher. Technicals are not appealing.
He owns LLY and NVO, MCK and CAH.