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Stockchase InsightsMerck & CompanyMRKBUY ON WEAKNESSJul 08, 2024

Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

The pharma sector is always in the political crosshairs. Both candidates have vowed reforms, but in different approaches. But both like to attack drug prices, both in amount and how they are paid (third party insurance, medicare, etc.). In other elections, though, the 'talk' is often worse than what actually happens. Both candidates know the sector is important for US growth, and the population is getting older. MRK and others can best compete with their drug pipeline, so that they can grow even with restrictions on revenue/prices. For MRK in specifically, consensus calls for very strong EPS growth in each of the next two years. If MRK can meet expectations, we think it can overcome any political fallout. It is also quite cheap at 14X earnings so some uncertainty is embedded in prices already.
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$125.78

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$119.60

As of Jun 09, 2026. Market Open.

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HOLD

Many drugs in the pipeline, and this compensates for older drugs going off patent. For example, it's blockbuster Keytruda is going off. You want companies that deliver double-digit revenue growth on offerings.

DON'T BUY

Today's downward move isn't all that outsized. There's been more clarity on US drug pricing. Seeing a bit of market exhaustion, as US pharma is trading at huge premiums relative to their own history.

Rerating from pricing clarity has already been baked in. R&D pipeline in the sector is a mixed bag, doesn't trust it.

BUY

He bought it for their strong drug pipeline and is happy to stay here.

HOLD

One of her holdings in the space. This higher-quality name has both growth and less execution risk.

WEAK BUY

Erratic and bumpy name. Concerns about Keytruda falling off. Pipeline (looking pretty good), execution, and valuation story. Trades at 12x PE. Just beat Q4, revenue beat. All things considered, you can own this.

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sep 02/25, Up 42.2%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with MRK is progressing well.  To remain disciplined, we recommend trailing up the stop (from $100) to $110 at this time.  

TOP PICK

Pharmas are coming back. Political policy is improving. Keytruda makes up a lot of revenues but faces a patent cliff in 2028. But MRK has invested a lot in new drugs and been buying companies strategically.

(Analysts’ price target is $123.89)
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sep 02/25, Up 36%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with MRK is progressing well.  To remain disciplined, we recommend trailing up the stop (from $87) to $100 at this time.  

BUY

Pays a really nice dividend. Really nice drug pipeline. Inexpensive. Reasonably wide moat.

BUY

A good drug pipeline with many promising drugs in phase 2 trials, though they have to overcome the patent cliff of Keytruda.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 09/25, Up 11%)

They have a good pipeline that will help offset the loss of their major Keytruda drug when it goes off-patent. MRK is good at buying and tucking in companies. Their 2025 chart wasn't that great until the end of the year when the sector caught a bid.

BUY

Is bullish healthcare for 2026 because of its growing customer base (baby boomers) who will need health services. He's been adding to Merck, post-Keytruda.

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sep 02/25, Up 19.3%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with MRK has triggered its stop at $173.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering half the position at this time and trailing up the stop (from $79) to $87.  

BUY

He made a mistake in selling this. It's now back to $94 and wants to hit $102.97, a 52-week high.

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sep 02/25, Up 9.7%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with MRK is progressing well.  To remain disciplined, we recommend trailing up the stop (from $70) to $79 at this time.