Stock price when the opinion was issued
It won't pull back much from here. Given tariffs, this space is uncertain, but eventually we will settle this tariff war. Auto manufacturing is so emeshed between both countries that it would take a very long time to rejig it. This or Linamar are fine, but Magna pays a higher PE, though trades at a higher price-to-book. Your horizon must be long to own this, like 3-4 years.
Very hesitant. Recent recovery has been sharp and quick, almost as though it's factoring in abolition of tariffs completely. We need more clarity on tariffs. Auto industry is highly cyclical and depends on health of the economy, and we're seeing signs of weakening.
If you own it, don't need the cash, and have a 5-10 year time horizon, you should be fine. But there could be further weakness from here.
This is a valuation call. Trading at 7X earnings. We had peak auto production last year. A great company, a great industry, the largest in North America, big European presence, and people are saying it is over and no one is going to buy a car again. They forget that Tesla (TSLA-Q) and Apple (AAPL-Q) have already talked to this company about production. Magna has the balance sheet to make pretty much any acquisition they want. Even if the sector did roll over, this company would just pick away at certain companies, and build up their market share for the next cycle. Very well-run. Dividend yield of 2.64%.