Stock price when the opinion was issued
Doesn't believe Asian exposure is affected by US-China issues. Would only be affected secondarily if economy started to slow and people had less money in general.
Nice recent beat. Still has momentum in Asia. Wealth management earnings were up 8%, even after the $43M charge on California wildfires. At 9.7x PE for 2026, still cheaper than Canadian banks and than SLF and GWO. Reasonable 10% growth rate. Lowest payout ratio among peers. Another "when", not "if", story. Yield is 4.02%, with nice growth.
Stock's been flat and stuck at these levels for the last little while. There may have been a downgrade yesterday. Thinks it's undervalued. Great dividend yield, dividend should remain steady and increase. Steady growth company; sees ~8% going into the next few years. Price-to-book is 1.6x, fairly cheap relative to some peers.
Wait and see. Market's hesitant to push it to new heights. If you forget about the last few months, 200-day MA is still trending higher thought flattening a bit. Stock price is below that now, but it's done that before and moved up again. Getting paid to wait.
Earnings quality still improving, though last quarter showed some negatives in the US. Acquiring Comvest, a private asset management platform, which should be nicely accretive. At 7.5%, not same EPS growth as a year ago. Trades at 9.8x versus peers, 45% payout ratio. Nice dividend, which will have some nice growth.
In general, insurance companies are a better buy than the banks right now.
3 to 10 Year Hold? Lifecos have long tails. It’s not like car insurance where every year rates are redone. Life insurance policies are for 5-10-20 years, so repricing is very difficult for them. They used to invest in bonds to cover liabilities, but can’t do that as easily anymore because rates are so low, which is pushing them into riskier parts of the investment curve. They missed their numbers by about 13%, although Asia did well for them. Not expensive, but doesn’t see how they make a lot of money going forward. He would rather own a bank for that time horizon.